Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41100407›Full record

ArticleAge and ageing2025

Delirium prevalence, diagnostic uncertainty and outcomes in ORCHARD-EPR: validation against prospective reference cohorts.

Emily Louise Boucher, Jasmine Ming Gan, Nicola Georgia Lovett, Sarah Catherine Smith, Sasha Shepperd, Sarah Tamsin Pendlebury

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Age and ageing, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Emily Louise BoucherUniversity of Oxford, Wolfson Centre for Prevention of Stroke and Dementia, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Wolfson Building, Headington, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Jasmine Ming GanUniversity of Oxford, Wolfson Centre for Prevention of Stroke and Dementia, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Wolfson Building, Headington, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Nicola Georgia LovettOxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Departments of General (Internal) Medicine and Geratology, Oxford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom.
Sarah Catherine SmithOxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Departments of General (Internal) Medicine and Geratology, Oxford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom.
Sasha ShepperdUniversity of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Population Health, Richard Doll Building Old Road Campus, Oxford OX3 7LF, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6384-8322
Sarah Tamsin PendleburyUniversity of Oxford, Wolfson Centre for Prevention of Stroke and Dementia, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Wolfson Building, Headington, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3603-8388

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDelirium is underdiagnosed in older inpatients. We determined clinically ascertained delirium prevalence, characteristics and outcomes after implementation of mandatory cognitive/delirium screening via the electronic patient record (EPR) compared to previously acquired prospective cohorts.

methodsAcute general medicine patients aged ≥70 years in two separate cohorts were included (i) the Oxford Cognitive Comorbidity, Frailty and Ageing Research Database (ORCHARD-EPR, 2017-2019) and (ii) prospective cohorts (2010-2018). The ORCHARD-EPR cognitive screen included the Confusion Assessment Method, and 10-point Abbreviated Mental Test (AMT) with delirium diagnosis = certain/uncertain/no. In the prospective cohorts, delirium was diagnosed by Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 4th Edition criteria. Odds ratios for in-hospital mortality were adjusted for age, sex, comorbidity and illness severity.

resultsAmong 18 614 ORCHARD-EPR patients (mean/SD age = 82.9/7.4 years, dementia = 20%), certain delirium (delirium = yes or ICD-10 delirium code) was present in 3077/18 614 (17%,95%CI 16%-17%) of whom 1199/3077 (39%) had dementia, and uncertain delirium (delirium = uncertain and no ICD-10 code) in 2007 (11%,10%-11%) of whom 773/2007 (39%) had dementia. In the prospective cohorts (n = 731, mean/SD age = 82.7/7.1 years, dementia = 21%), 277 (38%, 34%-42%, both P < 0.001) had delirium of whom 97 (35%) had dementia. Frailty, AMT < 8, infection and hyponatraemia (Standardised Mean Difference-SMD all >0.1) but not comorbid dementia (SMD = 0.009) were more common in certain vs uncertain delirium. Excess mortality was similar in certain and uncertain delirium and the prospective cohorts. DISCUSSION: Delirium diagnostic uncertainty was frequent particularly in the absence of key delirium risk factors and delirium prevalence, even combining both certain and uncertain cases, was lower than in the prospective cohorts. Nevertheless, co-occurrence with dementia and outcomes were similar indicating validity of screening and research potential of ORCHARD-EPR.

Indexed as

DeliriumElectronic Health RecordsAgedAged, 80 and overDementiaFemaleGeriatric AssessmentHospital MortalityHumansMalePredictive Value of TestsPrevalenceProspective StudiesUncertaintydeliriumdementiadiagnostic uncertaintyelectronic health recordsolder peoplereference standard

Identifiers

PMID41100407
PMCPMC12530185

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