Optimization of Genomic Breeding Value Estimation Model for Abdominal Fat Traits Based on Machine Learning.

Abdominal fat is a key indicator of chicken meat quality. Excessive deposition not only reduces meat quality but also decreases feed conversion efficiency, making the breeding of low-abdominal-fat strains economically important. Genomic selection (GS) uses information from genome-wide association studies (GWASs) and high-throughput sequencing data. It estimates genomic breeding values (GEBVs) from genotypes, which enables early and precise selection. Given that abdominal fat is a polygenic trait controlled by numerous small-effect loci, this study combined population genetic analyses with machine learning (ML)-based feature selection. Relevant single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were first identified using a combined GWAS and linkage disequilibrium (LD) approach, followed by a two-stage feature selection process-Lasso for dimensionality reduction and recursive feature elimination (RFE) for refinement-to generate the model input set. We evaluated multiple machine learning models for predicting genomic estimated breeding values (GEBVs). The results showed that linear models and certain nonlinear models achieved higher accuracy and were well suited as base learners for ensemble methods. Building on these findings, we developed a Dynamic Adaptive Weighted Stacking Ensemble Learning Framework (DAWSELF), which applies dynamic weighting and voting to heterogeneous base learners and integrates them layer by layer, with Ridge serving as the meta-learner. In three independent validation populations, DAWSELF consistently outperformed individual models and conventional stacking frameworks in prediction accuracy. This work establishes an efficient GEBV prediction framework for complex traits such as chicken abdominal fat and provides a reusable SNP feature selection strategy, offering practical value for enhancing the precision of poultry breeding and improving product quality.