Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41094608›Full record

ArticleInfectious diseases of poverty2025

Estimating the transmissibility of the 2025 chikungunya fever outbreak in Foshan, China: a modelling study.

Yunkang Zhao, Jiahui Li, Zeyu Zhao, Zhiqi Zeng, Beidou Zhang, Yulun Xie, Yanhua Su, Jia Rui, Zifeng Yang, Jianping Huang and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Infectious diseases of poverty, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Yunkang Zhao *State Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory, State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, National Innovation Platform for Industry-Education Integration in Vaccine Research, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, 4221-117 South Xiang'an Road, Xiang'an District, Xiamen City, Fujian Province, 361102, People's Republic of China.
Jiahui Li *State Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory, State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, National Innovation Platform for Industry-Education Integration in Vaccine Research, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, 4221-117 South Xiang'an Road, Xiang'an District, Xiamen City, Fujian Province, 361102, People's Republic of China.
Zeyu Zhao *State Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory, State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, National Innovation Platform for Industry-Education Integration in Vaccine Research, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, 4221-117 South Xiang'an Road, Xiang'an District, Xiamen City, Fujian Province, 361102, People's Republic of China.
Zhiqi Zeng *KingMed School of Laboratory Medicine, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, 510000, People's Republic of China.
Beidou ZhangCollaborative Innovation Center for West Ecological Safety, College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou City, Gansu Province, 730000, People's Republic of China.
Yulun XieState Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory, State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, National Innovation Platform for Industry-Education Integration in Vaccine Research, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, 4221-117 South Xiang'an Road, Xiang'an District, Xiamen City, Fujian Province, 361102, People's Republic of China.
Yanhua SuState Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory, State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, National Innovation Platform for Industry-Education Integration in Vaccine Research, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, 4221-117 South Xiang'an Road, Xiang'an District, Xiamen City, Fujian Province, 361102, People's Republic of China.
Jia RuiDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha City, Hunan Province, 410083, People's Republic of China. ruijia5345@163.com.
Zifeng YangState Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, National Clinical Research Center Respiratory Disease, Guangzhou Institute of Respiratory Health, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, 510000, People's Republic of China. jeffyah@163.com.
Jianping HuangCollaborative Innovation Center for West Ecological Safety, College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou City, Gansu Province, 730000, People's Republic of China. hjp@lzu.edu.cn.
Tianmu ChenState Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory, State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, National Innovation Platform for Industry-Education Integration in Vaccine Research, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, 4221-117 South Xiang'an Road, Xiang'an District, Xiamen City, Fujian Province, 361102, People's Republic of China. chentianmu@xmu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0710-5086

Funding

Major Project of Guangzhou National Laboratory Grant No. GZNL2024A01004National Key Research and Development Program of China 2024YFC2311404National Key Research and Development Program of China 2024YFE0214800Science and Technology Development Program of Guangdong Province Grant No. 2025B1212030002
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFollowing the onset of an index chikungunya case on July 8, 2025, a significant outbreak occurred in Foshan, Guangdong Province, China. This study aimed to quantify the outbreak's transmissibility between June 16 and July 21, 2025.

methodsData were obtained from local Government, Statistics Bureau, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and the relevant literature. We employed a transmission dynamic model that integrated human host-vector transmission to estimate the basic reproduction number (

resultsBetween June 16 and July 31, 2025, cumulative cases reached 2658, with 92.96% concentrated in the Shunde District. Model simulations showed that a cumulative case count is consistent with local reports (Pearson r = 0.99, P < 0.001). The median overall

Indexed as

Chikungunya FeverDisease OutbreaksAnimalsBasic Reproduction NumberChikungunya virusChinaEpidemiological ModelsHumansMosquito VectorsChikungunya feverChikungunya virusChinaModellingOutbreakVector-borne infections

Identifiers

PMID41094608
PMCPMC12529789

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.