Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41094559›Full record

ArticleInfectious diseases of poverty2025

Global burden of dengue from 1990 to 2021: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease study 2021.

Jinxin Zheng, Hai Tong, Muxin Chen, Lei Duan, Peng Song, Jiahui Sun, Xiaonong Zhou, Xinyu Feng

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Infectious diseases of poverty, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Alignment-freeJournal of clinical microbiology · 2026
    Article
  3. Alignment-Free Guided Design of a Pan-Orthoflavivirus RT-qPCR Assay.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Jinxin ZhengSchool of Global Health, Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025, China.
Hai TongSchool of Global Health, Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025, China.
Muxin ChenNational Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research); NHC Key Laboratory of Parasite and Vector Biology; WHO Collaborating Centre for Tropical Diseases, National Center for International Research On Tropical Diseases, Shanghai, 200025, China.
Lei DuanNational Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research); NHC Key Laboratory of Parasite and Vector Biology; WHO Collaborating Centre for Tropical Diseases, National Center for International Research On Tropical Diseases, Shanghai, 200025, China.
Peng SongNational Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research); NHC Key Laboratory of Parasite and Vector Biology; WHO Collaborating Centre for Tropical Diseases, National Center for International Research On Tropical Diseases, Shanghai, 200025, China.
Jiahui SunNational Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research); NHC Key Laboratory of Parasite and Vector Biology; WHO Collaborating Centre for Tropical Diseases, National Center for International Research On Tropical Diseases, Shanghai, 200025, China.
Xiaonong ZhouSchool of Global Health, Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025, China. zhouxn1@chinacdc.cn.
Xinyu FengSchool of Global Health, Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025, China. fengxinyu2013@163.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4120-7759

Funding

International Joint Laboratory on Tropical Diseases Control in Greater Mekong Subregion No. 21410750200Key Technologies Research and Development Program No. 2021YFC2300800Key Technologies Research and Development Program No. 2021YFC2300804
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDengue fever remains a major global public health challenge, with increasing incidence and burden over recent decades. Global warming, urbanization, and increased international travel have fueled the global spread of dengue. Despite escalating global concern, recent and consistent estimates of the global dengue burden remain limited. This study aimed to quantify the shifting trends of dengue fever.

methodsWe analyzed the 2021 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) dataset to assess dengue fever's incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from 1990 to 2021 across 204 countries/regions. Data were stratified by age, sex, and socio-demographic index (SDI) using age-standardized rates, and time-trend analysis was conducted with general linear regression. Correlations between SDI and disease burden metrics were evaluated using Spearman's rank correlation.

resultsFrom 1990 to 2021, the global burden of dengue increased, with age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) rising by 0.56% (95% UI: 0.23-2.38), age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) by 0.56% (95% UI: 0.23-2.36), and age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDR) by 0.28% (95% UI: -0.38-0.92). In 2021, there were an estimated 58.96 million cases. Regionally, Tropical Latin America reported the highest ASIR (5774.82; 95% UI: 1774.73-11,624.76). At the national level, variations in the change of the ASIR were observed across countries with Tonga reporting the highest ASIR in 2021. From 1990 to 2021, males exhibited a higher ASDR compared to females, particularly in the 0-14 age group. Dengue burden trends varied across SDI regions, with high-middle and middle SDI regions showing increased ASIR, while low SDI regions experienced a decline.

conclusionsThe analysis highlights the increase in dengue burden globally, with demographic and geographic disparities. The findings underscore the need for targeted prevention, control, and treatment strategies to mitigate the growing burden of dengue fever worldwide.

Indexed as

DengueGlobal Burden of DiseaseAdolescentAdultAgedChildChild, PreschoolCost of IllnessDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornMaleDengue feverDisability-adjusted life yearsGlobal Burden of DiseaseIncidenceMortalitySocio-demographic Index

Identifiers

PMID41094559
PMCPMC12529819

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.