Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41094301›Full record

Observational studyClinical rheumatology2025

The escalating burden of osteoarthritis in East and Southeast Asia: an information-analytical study from the GBD 2021.

Jinlei Zhou, Yuan Zhang, Shanggao Xie, Yanlei Li, Qice Sun, Xujie Tang, Tingxiao Zhao, Xinji Chen

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Clinical rheumatology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Jinlei Zhou *Center for Plastic & Reconstructive Surgery, Department of Orthopedics, Zhejiang Provincial Peoples Hospital (Affiliated Peoples Hospital, Hangzhou Medical College), Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Yuan Zhang *Department of Rheumatology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
Shanggao Xie *Center for Plastic & Reconstructive Surgery, Department of Orthopedics, Zhejiang Provincial Peoples Hospital (Affiliated Peoples Hospital, Hangzhou Medical College), Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Yanlei LiCenter for Plastic & Reconstructive Surgery, Department of Orthopedics, Zhejiang Provincial Peoples Hospital (Affiliated Peoples Hospital, Hangzhou Medical College), Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Qice SunDepartment of Rheumatology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
Xujie TangDepartment of Rehabilitation, The First Peoples Hospital of Tonglu County, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Tingxiao ZhaoCenter for Plastic & Reconstructive Surgery, Department of Orthopedics, Zhejiang Provincial Peoples Hospital (Affiliated Peoples Hospital, Hangzhou Medical College), Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China. spinezhaotingxiao@163.com.
Xinji ChenCenter for Plastic & Reconstructive Surgery, Department of Orthopedics, Zhejiang Provincial Peoples Hospital (Affiliated Peoples Hospital, Hangzhou Medical College), Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China. chenxinji603@139.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2950-0597

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundReport on the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (ASDR) of osteoarthritis and their trends at the global, regional, and national levels using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study.

methodsWe conducted a cross-sectional study to assess the burden of osteoarthritis in relation to age, sex, and socio-demographic indices (SDI) using data from the GBD 2021 study. The ASIR, ASPR, and ASDR at global, regional, and national levels were extracted. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) from 1990 to 2021 was then calculated using SDIs, complemented by cluster and frontier analyses.

resultsIn 2021, there were 606.98 million cases of osteoarthritis globally, with the ASIR increasing from 489.78 to 535 cases per 100,000 individuals between 1990 and 2021 (EAPC 0.33 [95% CI: 0.31-0.35]). This considerable rise was evident across all age groups (especially within the middle-aged group aged 30-60 years), gender groups, SDI quintiles and GBD regions. The East and Southeast Asian regions are concurrently experiencing a notable surge in the ASIR, ASPR, and ASDR associated with osteoarthritis. Frontier analyses indicate that Japan and Singapore possess the highest unrealized health potential.

conclusionBy 2021, the global burden of osteoarthritis had shifted substantially toward East and Southeast Asia, with an especially pronounced surge among middle-aged adults (30-60 years). These observations underscore the imperative for clinicians to recognize osteoarthritis as an emerging midlife health challenge in these regions, calling for earlier diagnosis, tailored preventive strategies, and revised clinical guidelines to address this evolving demographic landscape. Key Points • This study reveals a sharply escalating burden of osteoarthritis among middle-aged adults (30-60 years) in East and Southeast Asia, underscoring an urgent need for clinicians to strengthen early detection and optimize management strategies in this population. • The migration of osteoarthritis's epicenter to Asia underscores the pressing need for region-specific clinical guidelines and interventions, particularly in nations with substantial unmet health potential such as Japan and Singapore.

Indexed as

OsteoarthritisAdolescentAdultAgedAsia, EasternAsia, SoutheasternCost of IllnessCross-Sectional StudiesDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceAsiaDisability-adjusted life years (DALYs)EpidemiologyIncidenceMiddle agedOsteoarthritisThe Global burden of disease (GBD)

Identifiers

PMID41094301
PMCPMC12602588

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.