Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41088067›Full record

Observational studyBMC palliative care2025

Development and testing of a predictive model of symptoms for pain in community-dwelling frail older people in palliative care.

Suzan van Veen, Hans Drenth, Hans Hobbelen, Wim Krijnen, Everlien de Graaf, Evelyn Finnema

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC palliative care, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Suzan van VeenHealth Science-Nursing Science, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, 9713 GZ, the Netherlands. s.van.veen02@umcg.nl.
Hans DrenthZuidOostZorg, Organization for Elderly Care, Drachten, the Netherlands.
Hans HobbelenResearch group Healthy Ageing, Allied Health Care and Nursing, Hanze University of Applied Sciences, Groningen, the Netherlands.
Wim KrijnenResearch group Healthy Ageing, Allied Health Care and Nursing, Hanze University of Applied Sciences, Groningen, the Netherlands.
Everlien de GraafCenter of Expertise Palliative Care Utrecht, Dept of General Practice and Nursing Science, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Evelyn FinnemaHealth Science-Nursing Science, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, 9713 GZ, the Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPain assessment is a necessary step in pain management in older people in palliative care. In older people, pain assessment can be challenging due to underreporting and atypical pain manifestations by other distressing symptoms. Anxiety, fatigue, loss of appetite, nausea, insomnia, dyspnoea, and bowel problems correlate with pain in palliative care patients. Insight into these symptoms as predictors may help to identify the underlying presence of pain. This study aimed to develop and test a prediction model for pain in community-dwelling frail older people in palliative care.

methodsIn this cross-sectional observational study, community-care nurses from multiple organizations across the Netherlands included eligible patients (life expectancy < 1 year, aged 65+, community-dwelling and frail). The outcome pain and symptoms were assessed by means of the Utrecht Symptom Diary. Also, demographic and illness information, including relevant covariates age, sex and living situation, was collected. Multivariable logistic regression and minimum Akaike Information Criterion(AIC) were used for model development and Receiver Operating Characteristics(ROC)-analysis for model performance. Additionally, predicted probability of pain are given for groups differing in age and sex.

resultsA total of 157 patients were included. The final model consisted of insomnia(Odds Ratio[OR] = 2.13, 95% Confidence Interval[CI] = 1.01-1.30), fatigue(OR = 3.47, 95% CI = 1.11-1.43), sex(female)(OR = 3.83, 95% CI = 2.11-9.81) and age(OR=-1.59, 95% CI = 0.92-1.01) as predicting variables. There is an overall decreasing trend for age, older persons suffer less from pain and females have a higher probability of experiencing pain. Model performance was indicated as fair with a sensitivity of 0.74(95% CI = 0.64-0.83) and a positive predictive value of 0.80(95% CI = 0.70-0.88).

conclusionsInsomnia and fatigue are predicting symptoms for pain, especially in women and younger patients. Further testing of the model in external cohorts is needed before clinical adoption.

Indexed as

Frail ElderlyPainPain MeasurementPalliative CareAgedAged, 80 and overCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansIndependent LivingLogistic ModelsMaleNetherlandsROC CurveClinical decision rulesFrail elderlyPainPain managementPalliative careSymptom assessment

Identifiers

PMID41088067
PMCPMC12522293

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.