Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41086352›Full record

ArticleEcology letters2025

Resurveyed Island Vegetation Reveals That Species Colonisation and Extinction Probabilities Are Linked to Traits.

Julian Schrader, David Coleman, David Zelený, Holger Kreft, Mark Westoby

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ecology letters, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Julian SchraderSchool of Natural Sciences, Macquarie University, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8392-211X
David ColemanSchool of Natural Sciences, Macquarie University, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1773-6597
David ZelenýInstitute of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5157-044X
Holger KreftBiodiversity, Macroecology and Biogeography, University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4471-8236
Mark WestobySchool of Natural Sciences, Macquarie University, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7690-4530

Funding

Genes to Geoscience
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Equilibrium Theory of Island Biogeography (ETIB) proposes that species richness on islands reflects a balance between extinctions and colonisations. However, ETIB assumes species neutrality, limiting predictions to species richness rather than types. Here, we integrate traits into equilibrium dynamics for 132 Australian islands' native floras sampled repeatedly over six decades. Our analysis shows that both species richness and community mean trait composition remain stable despite continuing turnover. We found evidence for traits being associated with both species' colonisation and extinction. Colonisations were faster for low-stature, small-seeded species, while extinctions were faster in species with low leaf mass per area and annual life history. Our results highlight that species equilibria on islands are maintained by species-specific turnover dynamics linked to traits. This trait dependence in colonisation and extinction helps explain how ecological communities assemble and why some species are more likely to occur on islands than others.

Indexed as

BiodiversityExtinction, BiologicalPlantsAustraliaEcosystemIslandsModels, BiologicalPopulation DynamicsSpecies SpecificitycolonisationEquilibrium Theory of Island Biogeographyextinctionplant ecological strategiesspecies gainsspecies losses

Identifiers

PMID41086352
PMCPMC12520624

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.