Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41083439›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

North American "warming holes" and European heat during abrupt Holocene cooling events in the Atlantic.

Bryan N Shuman, Ioana C Stefanescu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Bryan N ShumanDepartment of Geology & Geophysics, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY, USA. bshuman@uwyo.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8149-8925
Ioana C StefanescuDepartment of Geology & Geophysics, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY, USA.

Funding

National Science Foundation (NSF) DEB-1856047National Science Foundation (NSF) EAR-1903729
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In recent decades, Europe has warmed rapidly while a prominent 'warming hole' has muted changes in eastern North America. Paradoxically, the pattern coincides with cooling in the North Atlantic, even though ocean cooling is commonly expected to chill Europe, not North America. The regional departures from global trends and expectations may have informative precedents in millennial-scale climate anomalies during the Holocene. Here, circum-Atlantic records reveal that counter-intuitive European warming developed amid rapid cooling of the North Atlantic and North America from 5.8-4.8 ka and after 2.2 ka. The anomalies track rapid reductions in the flow of North Atlantic Deep Water southwest of Iceland and appear in independent but highly correlated records of mean sea-surface temperatures, continental temperatures, and hydroclimate changes from both sides of the Atlantic. The patterns confirm the importance of millennial climate variability during the Holocene and the risk of climate disruptions around the North Atlantic today.

Identifiers

PMID41083439
PMCPMC12518680

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.