Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41082517›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2025

Climatic, socioeconomic, and migratory factors on the epidemiological dynamics of cutaneous leishmaniasis in Colombia, 2007-2021.

Johanna Tapias Rivera, Ruth Martínez-Vega, Wendy Lorena Quintero-García, Dayana Sofía Torres-Martínez, Angela Liliana Monroy-Díaz, Lusayda Sánchez-Corrales, Juan David Gutiérrez-Torres

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Johanna Tapias RiveraFacultad de Ciencias Exactas, Naturales y Agropecuarias, Universidad de Santander, Bucaramanga, Santander, Colombia.ORCID 0000-0001-9353-7904
Ruth Martínez-VegaEscuela de Medicina, Instituto Masira, Facultad de Ciencias Médicas y de la Salud, Universidad de Santander, Bucaramanga, Santander, Colombia.
Wendy Lorena Quintero-GarcíaPosgrados en Enfermedades Infecciosas, Instituto Masira, Facultad de Ciencias Médicas y de la Salud, Universidad de Santander, Bucaramanga, Santander, Colombia.
Dayana Sofía Torres-MartínezFacultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad de Boyacá, Tunja, Boyacá, Colombia.
Angela Liliana Monroy-DíazFacultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad de Boyacá, Tunja, Boyacá, Colombia.
Lusayda Sánchez-CorralesFacultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Católica de Manizales, Manizales, Caldas, Colombia.
Juan David Gutiérrez-TorresInstituto Masira, Facultad de Ciencias Médicas y de la Salud, Universidad de Santander, Bucaramanga, Santander, Colombia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The World Health Organization considers cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) to be one of the most important neglected tropical diseases (NTDs). The application of geostatistical models, in conjunction with sociodemographic and environmental factors, enables the understanding of disease epidemiology and facilitates the implementation of targeted measures and effective case management. This research aimed to evaluate the association between climatic, sociodemographic, and socioeconomic factors with the monthly CL incidence rate at the municipality level in Colombia from 2007 to 2021. An ecological study was conducted, including laboratory-confirmed notifications of CL reported in municipalities located below 1,700 meters above sea level through the National Public Health Surveillance System. Climate data were sourced from NASA, and sociodemographic and socioeconomic variables were obtained from the National Planning Department. Hierarchical spatio-temporal regression models within a Bayesian framework were used to analyze the monthly CL. A total of 121,828 cases of CL were analyzed, with an annual median of 7,605 cases. Standardized incidence rates (SIR) ranged from 0 to 16,072 per 100,000 population (median: 105.7; IQR: 46.7-419). Eight of the 11 studied factors were associated with the monthly cases of CL: rainfall, urban dimension, and Venezuelan migration were associated with a decrease in CL cases, while qualitative housing deficit, internal migration, the multidimensional poverty index, the index of unmet basic needs, and forest coverage were associated with an increase in CL cases. CL incidence in Colombia fluctuated during the study period, with high spatial heterogeneity linked to climatic, sociodemographic. and socioeconomic factors. These findings highlight the necessity for customized territorial approaches to the prevention and control of CL, emphasizing the importance of considering municipal characteristics and aligning strategies with the Colombian Strategic Plan for CL.

Indexed as

ClimateLeishmaniasis, CutaneousAdolescentAdultChildChild, PreschoolColombiaFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantMaleMiddle AgedSocioeconomic FactorsYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID41082517
PMCPMC12517516

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.