Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41081751›Full record

ArticlePain2026

Patterns and trajectories of peripheral inflammatory cytokines, immune tolerance, and lymphocyte differentiation predict transition from acute to chronic low back pain in a sex- and age-specific manner.

Michael C Brown, Andrzej S Kosinski, Rebecca Fillipo, Georgia Howell, Minh-Huy Giang, Micah Hurewitz, William Kornahrens, Colleen A Burke, Steven Z George, Flavia P Kapos and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pain, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Michael C BrownDepartment of Neurosurgery, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.
Andrzej S KosinskiDepartment of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, United States.
Rebecca FillipoDepartment of Population Health Sciences, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.
Georgia HowellDepartment of Neurosurgery, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.
Minh-Huy GiangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.
Micah HurewitzDepartment of Neurosurgery, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.
William KornahrensDepartment of Neurosurgery, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.
Colleen A BurkeDepartment of Population Health Sciences, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.
Steven Z GeorgeDuke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.
Flavia P KaposDuke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.
Stephanie T DanylukDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, United States.
Carla A KingsburyDuke Clinical and Translational Science Institute, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, United States.
Kelley SeebeckDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, United States.
Christopher E LewisDuke Clinical and Translational Science Institute, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, United States.
Cecilia PlezDuke Clinical and Translational Science Institute, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, United States.
Emily FordDuke Clinical and Translational Science Institute, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC, United States.
Adam P GoodeDuke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States.

Funding

Support for QA/QC for Prior Approval ProcessUL1TR002553 · NCATS · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI LI, JENNIFER S, MCNAMARA, JAMES O. · 2018 to 2023
$58.5M
Biomarkers to Advance Clinical Phenotypes of Low Back Pain (BACk)R01AR071440 · NIAMS · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI Adam Goode · 2017 to 2026
$5.0M
Mechanical Biomarkers of Chronic Low Back PainR01AR075399 · NIAMS · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI Louis E. DeFrate, Adam Goode · 2019 to 2026
$3.7M
Mentoring in Musculoskeletal Pain PhenotypesK24AR079594 · NIAMS · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI Adam Goode · 2022 to 2026
$927k
Social Health Factors Associated with the Transition from Acute to Chronic Low Back PainF31AR084911 · NIAMS · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI Colleen Burke · 2024 to 2026
$134k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002553NIAMS NIH HHS F31 AR084911NIAMS NIH HHS F31AR084911NIAMS NIH HHS K24 AR079594NIAMS NIH HHS K24AR079594NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR071440NIAMS NIH HHS R01AR071440NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR075399
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

abstractThe immune system mediates pain perception in preclinical models. Yet, the role of the immune system in transition to a chronic pain state in humans remains unclear, and biomarkers to inform the clinical management and/or development of therapies to prevent chronic pain are needed. We leveraged peripheral blood from 2 community-based cohorts of adults with an acute low back pain (LBP) episode (n = 108) to define the relationship(s) between the transition to chronic LBP and peripheral inflammation, immune cell phenotypes and functionalities, and their trajectories. Distinct patterns of baseline plasma cytokine profiles associated with transition to chronic LBP in a sex-dependent manner, of which lower IFN-β and TNF and higher IL-18 and BDNF were associated with chronic LBP development. Analysis of peripheral immune cells uncovered relationships between monocyte, T-cell, and B-cell inflammation and transition to chronic LBP that were influenced by both sex and age. It revealed relatively tolerized immune responses in participants who did not transition to chronic LBP. Baseline inflammatory cytokine and immune cell features improved the prediction of the transition to chronic LBP relative to established self-reported pain measures alone. While perceived pain at baseline was more strongly associated with immune cell phenotypes, B-cell maturation trajectories uniquely predicted transition to chronic LBP independent of self-reported pain intensity/frequency, sex, and age. Collectively, these data demonstrate that distinct patterns of peripheral inflammation are associated with the transition to chronic LBP and point towards a unique association between B-cell maturation and the development of a chronic pain state.

Indexed as

Cell DifferentiationChronic PainCytokinesImmune ToleranceLow Back PainLymphocytesSex CharacteristicsAdultAgedAge FactorsCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedYoung AdultCytokinesAcute painB cellsChronic painCommunity-based researchInflammationLow back painNociception

Identifiers

PMID41081751
PMCPMC12614299

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.