Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41080912›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Europe2025

Prevalence and prognosis of patients with breast cancer eligible for adjuvant abemaciclib or ribociclib: a nationwide population-based study.

Xingrong Liu, Behnaz Binicy, Balazs Acs, Louise Eriksson Bergman, Sibylle Loibl, Michael Gnant, Michael Untch, Antonios Valachis, Jonas Bergh, Johan Hartman and 2 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Europe, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT00798070 (A Randomised Phase 3 Study Comparing Biweekly and Tailored Epirubicin + Cyclophosphamide Followed by Biweekly Tailored Docetaxel Versus Three Weekly Epirubicin + Cyclophosphamide + 5-fluorouracil Followed by Docetaxel in Lymph Node Positive or High Risk Lymph Node Negative Breast Cancer Patients), which is not on this map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00798070 phase3active not recruitingnot on this map

A Randomised Phase 3 Study Comparing Biweekly and Tailored Epirubicin + Cyclophosphamide Followed by Biweekly Tailored Docetaxel Versus Three Weekly Epirubicin + Cyclophosphamide + 5-fluorouracil Followed by Docetaxel in Lymph Node Positive or High Risk Lymph Node Negative Breast Cancer Patients

TypeinterventionalSponsorKarolinska University HospitalRan2007 to 2028Enrolled2,017ConditionsBreast CancerArmsdtEC→dtT, FEC→T
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Xingrong LiuDepartment of Oncology/Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Behnaz BinicyDepartment of Oncology/Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Balazs AcsDepartment of Oncology/Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Louise Eriksson BergmanDepartment of Oncology/Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Sibylle LoiblGerman Breast Group, Neu-Isenburg, Germany.
Michael GnantComprehensive Cancer Center, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.
Michael UntchHelios Klinikum Berlin-Buch, Berlin, Germany.
Antonios ValachisDepartment of Oncology, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.
Jonas BerghDepartment of Oncology/Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Johan HartmanDepartment of Oncology/Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Theodoros FoukakisDepartment of Oncology/Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Alexios MatikasDepartment of Oncology/Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Nationwide studies on the prevalence, characteristics and long-term prognosis of patients with early breast cancer and a potential indication for adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibitors are lacking. Methods: We leveraged a prospectively collected nationwide cohort of all patients treated for breast cancer in Sweden in 2007-2023 and identified patients fulfilling the monarchE and/or the NATALEE eligibility criteria, to estimate the proportion of eligible patients for adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibitors and their outcomes. Overall survival (OS) was the primary endpoint of interest. In addition, we compared distant relapse-free survival and OS of a patient subset treated in the Stockholm-Gotland region in 2012-2020 to patients enrolled in the phase 3 PANTHER trial (NCT00798070) in 2007-2011, before and after alignment of key inclusion criteria. Findings: Of 52,602 patients with ER-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer, 9553 (18.2%) fulfilled both the monarchE and the NATALEE criteria, 9800 (18.6%) fulfilled the NATALEE criteria only and 745 patients (1.4%) fulfilled the monarchE criteria only. Median follow-up was 6.87 years. Ten-year OS rates were 65.7% (95% CI 65.3%-67.0%) for monarchE-eligible and 70.2% (95% CI 69.3%-71.1%) for NATALEE-eligible patients, and 84.0% (95% CI 83.4%-84.6%) for non-eligible, 75.5% (74.4$-76.7%) for NATALEE-only eligible and 64.3% (95% CI 62.9%-65.7%) for concordant eligible patients for both studies (p < 0.0001). Before alignment of inclusion criteria, patients treated within the PANTHER trial had improved outcomes compared to those treated in clinical routine. However, the differences in outcomes disappeared after alignment. Interpretation: These results inform on the prevalence and prognosis of candidates for adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibitors at a nationwide level. Funding: Cancerfonden, Bröstcancerförbundet, Radiumhemmets Forskningsfonder, Amgen, Roche, Sanofi-Aventis.

Indexed as

AbemaciclibAdjuvantBreast cancerCDK4/6 inhibitorsmonarchENATALEERibociclib

Identifiers

PMID41080912
PMCPMC12513154

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.