Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41079589›Full record

SynthesisFrontiers in cardiovascular medicine2025

Risk prediction models for permanent pacemaker implantation following transcatheter aortic valve replacement: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Yijun Mao, Qiang Liu, Hui Fan, Wenjing He, Xueqian Ouyang, Xiaojuan Wang, Erqing Li, Li Qiu, Huanni Dong

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Yijun MaoDepartment of Nursing, Xianyang Central Hospital, Xianyang, China.
Qiang LiuDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Xianyang Central Hospital, Xianyang, China.
Hui FanDepartment of Nursing, Xianyang Central Hospital, Xianyang, China.
Wenjing HeDepartment of Nursing, Xianyang Central Hospital, Xianyang, China.
Xueqian OuyangDepartment of Nursing, Xianyang Central Hospital, Xianyang, China.
Xiaojuan WangDepartment of Nursing, Xianyang Central Hospital, Xianyang, China.
Erqing LiInterventional Operating Room, Xianyang Central Hospital, Xianyang, China.
Li QiuDepartment of Nursing, Xianyang Central Hospital, Xianyang, China.
Huanni DongDepartment of Nursing, Xianyang Central Hospital, Xianyang, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: To systematically evaluate the methodological quality and predictive performance of risk prediction models for permanent pacemaker implantation (PPMI) following transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR), identify key predictive factors, and assess the risk of bias and clinical applicability of these models. Methods: A comprehensive search was conducted across multiple databases, including PubMed, Web of Science, The Cochrane Library, Embase, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Wanfang Database, China Science and Technology Journal Database (VIP), and SinoMed. The search included all records from database inception to January 1, 2025. Two independent researchers screened studies and extracted relevant data. Results: A total of 11 studies were included, covering 11 risk prediction models with sample sizes ranging from 184-35,410. The incidence of PPMI after TAVR varied between 7.3% and 31.0%. Frequently identified predictors (present in at least two studies) included right bundle branch block (RBBB), self-expandable valves, PR interval, QRS interval, and atrioventricular block (AVB). All models reported the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), ranging from 0.660-0.916, with seven studies providing calibration metrics. Internal validation was performed in three studies, while one study included both internal and external validation. Ten studies were assessed as having a high risk of bias, primarily due to deficiencies in data analysis. The pooled AUROC for the nine validated models was 0.76 (95% confidence interval: 0.72-0.80), indicating moderate discriminatory ability. Conclusion: Existing risk prediction models for PPMI after TAVR demonstrate moderate predictive performance but are limited by a high risk of bias, as assessed using the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST). Future research should focus on developing more robust models through larger sample sizes, rigorous methodologies, and multi-center external validation. Systematic Review Registration: The protocol for this study is registered with https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/view/CRD42025629869, PROSPERO CRD42025629869.

Indexed as

conduction disturbancemeta-analysispermanent pacemaker implantationprediction modelsystematic reviewtranscatheter aortic valve replacement

Identifiers

PMID41079589
PMCPMC12507885

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.