Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41079071›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in oncology2025

Global burden of head and neck cancer: Epidemiological transitions, inequities, and projections to 2050.

Hao Sun, Mulin Yu, Ziyue An, Fangcheng Liang, Bowen Sun, Yuanlong Liu, Shenquan Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  7. The emerging landscape for next-generation HNSCC treatment.Trends in pharmacological sciences · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Hao SunDepartment of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China.
Mulin YuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China.
Ziyue AnDepartment of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China.
Fangcheng LiangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China.
Bowen SunDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China.
Yuanlong LiuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China.
Shenquan ZhangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Head and neck cancer (HNC) is the seventh most frequently occurring cancer worldwide. The incidence and mortality of HNC have been demonstrated to significantly impact human health and increase the global health burden. We assessed temporal trends via Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) across 36 countries (2008-2017). No study has yet focused on the latest epidemiological changes of GLOBOCAN 2022 in HNC and made predictions about the trends to 2050. Objectives: Integrate historical HNC records and project global incidence and mortality trends to 2050 to support region-specific prevention strategies. Methods: Data on HNC cases and deaths including rates for subtypes were gathered from GLOBOCAN 2022 (https://gco.iarc.fr). The age-standardized incidence and mortality rates per 100,000 person-years were calculated by the direct age standardization method based on the Segi-Doll World standard population. We counted EAPC in 36 countries over the last decade (2008-2017). Eight of these countries with different levels of development were also selected to observe in detail their annual trends from 1980 to 2017. Relationship between the Human Development Index (HDI) and the HNC subtypes was examined using linear regression. Conclusion: From 2008 to 2017, both the number of male HNC deaths and cases decreased. However, in 2022, the men's and older people's HNC burden is still heavier. According to the projection, future reductions in overall HNC incidence and mortality are expected to materialize only in the event of a decline in cases and deaths by 2 or 3 percent or more.

Indexed as

disparitiesepidemiologyglobal burdenGLOBOCAN databasehead and neck cancer

Identifiers

PMID41079071
PMCPMC12507627

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.