Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41074123›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2025

Early detection of non-small cell lung cancer: an electronic health record data-driven approach.

Xiudi Li, Erin Y Yuan, Stephen J Kuperberg, Clara-Lea Bonzel, Mary I Jeffway, Tianrun Cai, Katherine P Liao, Raquel Aguiar-Ibáñez, Yu-Han Kao, Melissa L Santorelli and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Risk prediction for lung cancer screening: a systematic review and meta-regression.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2026
    Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Xiudi LiDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
Erin Y YuanHarvard College, Cambridge, MA, 02138, USA.
Stephen J KuperbergDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, 10016, USA.
Clara-Lea BonzelDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
Mary I JeffwayDivision of Rheumatology, Inflammation, and Immunity, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
Tianrun CaiDivision of Rheumatology, Inflammation, and Immunity, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
Katherine P LiaoDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
Raquel Aguiar-IbáñezMerck Canada Inc., Kirkland, QC, Canada.
Yu-Han KaoMerck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA.
Melissa L SantorelliMerck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA. melissa.santorelli@merck.com.
David C ChristianiDepartment of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
Tianxi CaiDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
Rui DuanDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, 02115, USA. rduan@hsph.harvard.edu.

Funding

The Boston Lung Cancer Survival CohortU01CA209414 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI David C Christiani · 2017 to 2026
$12.2M
Federated and transfer learning methods for cross-ancestry and cross-phenotype integration of genomic datasetsR01GM148494 · NIGMS · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Rui Duan · 2023 to 2026
$1.7M
NCI NIH HHS U01 CA209414NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM148494
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSpecific patient characteristics increase the risk of cancer, necessitating personalized healthcare approaches. For high-risk individuals, tailored clinical management ensures proactive monitoring and timely interventions. Electronic health record (EHR) data are crucial for supporting these personalized approaches, improving cancer prevention and early diagnosis. We leverage EHR data and build a prediction model for early detection of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

methodsWe utilize data from Mass General Brigham's EHR and implement a three-stage ensemble learning approach. Initially, we generate risk scores using multivariate logistic regression in a self-control and case-control design to distinguish between cases and controls. Subsequently, these risk scores are integrated and calibrated using a prospective Cox model to develop the risk prediction model.

resultsWe identified 127 EHR-derived features predictive for early detection of NSCLC. The highly predictive features include smoking, relevant lab test results, and chronic lung diseases. The predictive model reached area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (area under the curve, AUC) of 0.801 (positive predictive value (PPV) 0.0173 with specificity 0.02) for predicting 1-year NSCLC risk in a population aged 18 and above, and AUC of 0.757 (PPV 0.0196 with specificity 0.02) in a population aged 40 and above.

conclusionsThis study identified EHR-derived features which are predictive of early NSCLC diagnosis. The developed risk prediction model exhibits superior performance for early detection of NSCLC compared to a baseline model that only relies on demographic and smoking information, demonstrating the potential of incorporating EHR-derived features for personalized cancer screening recommendations and early detection.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungEarly Detection of CancerElectronic Health RecordsLung NeoplasmsAdultAgedCase-Control StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedROC CurveEarly cancer detectionElectronic health recordsNon-small cell lung cancerRisk prediction model

Identifiers

PMID41074123
PMCPMC12512953

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.