Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41069589›Full record

ArticleOpen forum infectious diseases2025

Global Estimates of the HPV-related, Noncervical Cancer Burden in People With HIV and AIDS and the Potential Effect of Improved HPV Vaccine Coverage in This Population: A Systematic Review, Meta-analysis and Modeling Study.

Namwa Wongkalasin, Victoria Pilkington, Jacob Levi, Toby Pepperrell, Anna Garratt, Cassandra Fairhead, Andrew Hill

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open forum infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Namwa WongkalasinSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0009-4523-5261
Victoria PilkingtonSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Jacob LeviSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0206-7121
Toby PepperrellSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Anna GarrattDepartment of Medicine, Cardiff and Vale University Health Board, Cardiff, UK.
Cassandra FairheadAcute Medicine, Royal Free Hospital, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5306-6965
Andrew HillDepartment of Pharmacology and Therapeutics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0606-6890

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: While HIV/HPV coinfection significantly increases cervical carcinogenesis, the relationship with HPV-related noncervical cancers is less understood. HPV vaccination is key in prevention, but global coverage is low (21%). We aimed to quantify the risk of noncervical cancers among people living with HIV and AIDs (PWHA), estimate this cancer burden globally, and the impact of improved HPV vaccine coverage. Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of 3 databases to identify studies comparing HPV-related noncervical cancer risk in PWHA and HIV negative populations, generating a risk ratio for each cancer. This was combined with country-specific HIV prevalence and the incidence of cancer cases to calculate the burden. Vaccine impact was estimated using vaccine coverage data and point efficacy estimates. Results: 25 studies were included analyzing 1 560 923 million PWHA. The risk of developing each HPV-related noncervical cancer was significantly increased in PWHA. The pooled risk was 30.32 (CI 20.54-44.75) for anal, 15.78 (CI 4.62-53.92) for vaginal, 6.99 (CI 3.37-14.51) for vulvar, 6.37 (CI 3.98-10.21) for penile, and 2.74 (CI 2.10-3.58) for oropharyngeal cancers. Globally, 30% of cases in Africa were HIV-attributable, compared with 5% worldwide. If HPV vaccination coverage increased to 90%, we could prevent 1987 more cancer cases, assuming 50% vaccine efficacy. Conclusions: This meta-analysis confirms that PWHA are more susceptible to adverse outcomes beyond cervical cancer and must be prioritized in HPV prevention and vaccine efficacy research. In countries with high HIV/HPV coinfection prevalence, integrating HPV vaccination with HIV services could minimize disparities in the cancer burden worldwide.

Indexed as

epidemiologyHIVhuman papilloma virusnon-cervicalvaccines

Identifiers

PMID41069589
PMCPMC12507086

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.