ArticleInfectious diseases of poverty2025
Temporal and age-structured analysis of Mpox spread in the 2022 Global outbreak: data-assimilation insights for epidemic control.
Article in Infectious diseases of poverty, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
- A Review of Epidemiological Modeling Studies on Monkeypox.China CDC weekly · 2026Article
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4 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundThe global outbreak of mpox that began in 2022 caused sustained human-to-human transmission and demonstrates distinct epidemiological characteristics compared to previous outbreaks. Our aim is to quantify temporal variation of mpox transmissibility within or between age groups and evaluate the effectiveness of interventions in real time.
methodsThe data used in this study is sourced from publicly available mpox confirmed cases data provided by WHO. We divided population into four age groups and constructed a transmission dynamics model with age structure of the population. And we estimated the transmissibilities of the monkeypox virus within or between age groups in real time by assimilation of global surveillance data from WHO, and performed intervention simulations in different scenarios we set up.
resultsThe effective reproduction number of mpox in the 18-44 age group is significantly higher than in other age groups, and it initially experiences a rapid increase, enters a phase of steady decrease after reaching a certain point [
conclusionsThe transmissibility of mpox within the 18-44 age group follows a distinct pattern of rapid growth-slow decline not observed to the same extent in other age groups. Real-time estimation of mpox transmissibility within or between age groups helps us to understand the dynamic process of mpox interpersonal transmission better and evaluate the effect of various interventions in real world more promptly.
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