Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41068164›Full record

Articlenpj aging2025

Global, regional, and national burden of falls among older adults: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 and Projections to 2040.

Yang Chen, Feifei Dai, Shulun Huang, Daoda Qi, Chengyi Peng, Aijia Zhang, Yuan Wang, Yan Gu, Jingjing Guo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in npj aging, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Yang Chen *Department of Geriatrics, The Second Hospital of Nanjing, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, PR China.
Feifei Dai *Medical Insurance Office, The Second Hospital of Nanjing, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, PR China.
Shulun HuangDepartment of Geriatrics, The Second Hospital of Nanjing, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, PR China.
Daoda QiDepartment of Geriatrics, The Second Hospital of Nanjing, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, PR China.
Chengyi PengDepartment of Geriatrics, The Second Hospital of Nanjing, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, PR China.
Aijia ZhangDepartment of Geriatrics, The Second Hospital of Nanjing, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, PR China.
Yuan WangClinical Research Center, The Second Hospital of Nanjing, Affiliated to Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, PR China.
Yan GuDepartment of Geriatrics, The Second Hospital of Nanjing, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, PR China. guyan703@foxmail.com.
Jingjing GuoDepartment of Geriatrics, The Second Hospital of Nanjing, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, PR China. guojingjing0017@126.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Falls are a significant cause of injury-related morbidity and mortality among older adults worldwide, with a rising incidence in recent decades. Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, we analyzed incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) related to falls in individuals aged 65 years and older from 1990 to 2021. In 2021, there were approximately 45,657,816 new falls globally, reflecting a 182% increase since 1990. While the incidence rate rose, mortality and DALY rates remained relatively stable. Higher incidence was observed in women, but men had higher mortality rates. Regional differences were notable, with Australasia and South Asia showing the highest incidence and mortality burdens, respectively. Low bone mineral density emerged as the leading risk factor. Projections indicate a continued rise in incidence through 2040. These findings highlight the urgent need for targeted prevention strategies to reduce the health burden of falls among older adults.

Identifiers

PMID41068164
PMCPMC12511421

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.