Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41063096›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2025

Global burden of diabetes in women from 1990 to 2021, with projections to 2050: population-based study.

Fanchao Shi, Qian Zhao, Yi Yang, Lu Liu, Xiao Zhang, Hyun Je Kim, Yanzhong Wang, Jun Pu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Women living with diabetes: Overlooked and under-recognised, the psychosocial impact.Diabetic medicine : a journal of the British Diabetic Association · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Fanchao Shi *Department of Cardiology, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, State Key Laboratory of Systems Medicine for Cancer, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, 200127, China.
Qian Zhao *Department of Cardiology, People's Hospital of Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, Xinjiang, 830001, China.
Yi Yang *Department of Geriatrics, Tongji Hospital of Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China.
Lu LiuSchool of Life Course and Population Sciences, King's College London, London, SE1 1UL, UK.
Xiao ZhangDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, No.38 Xueyuan Road, Beijing, 100191, China.
Hyun Je KimDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, 03080, South Korea.
Yanzhong WangSchool of Life Course and Population Sciences, King's College London, London, SE1 1UL, UK. yanzhong.wang@kcl.ac.uk.
Jun PuDepartment of Cardiology, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, State Key Laboratory of Systems Medicine for Cancer, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, 200127, China. pujun310@hotmail.com.

Funding

"Jie Bang Gua Shuai" Program of Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology 25-2KYC13066-27National Natural Science Foundation of China 82421001Noncommunicable Chronic Diseases-National Science and Technology Major Project 2023ZD0503204Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality 22DZ2292400Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality 23015810500Shanghai Magnolia Talent Plan Pujiang Project 24PJD056Shanghai Municipal Health Commission 2023ZZ02021"Tianshan Talents" medical and health high-level personnel training program TSYC202301B066
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe global burden of women's health is underestimated, with diabetes disproportionately affecting women due to sex-specific health conditions, unequal healthcare access, and underrepresentation in clinical trials. However, none has comprehensively examined the global burden of diabetes in women.

methodsDiabetes data were extracted from Global Burden of Disease 2021. Age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY), with the corresponding average annual percent change (AAPC), were calculated at global, sociodemographic index (SDI), regional, and national levels. Age-specific patterns, DALY attributable to risk factors, and DALY projections to 2050 were also examined.

resultsIn women, the global age-standardized incidence of diabetes was 273 (95% uncertainty interval 253 to 294) per 100 000 population in 2021, with 2.5% being type 1 diabetes (T1D). From 1990 to 2021, age-standardized incidence of T1D increased, with an AAPC of 0.48% (p < 0.001); while mortality and DALY decreased (p < 0.001). High SDI showed a T1D incidence 1.4 to 2.3 times that of other SDI levels, with a six-fold faster growth in incidence compared to Low-middle SDI (1.07% vs 0.18% per year). T1D incidence exhibited an approximately U-shaped association with age, peaking in women aged < 25 and > 80 years. For type 2 diabetes (T2D) in women, the global age-standardized incidence, mortality, and DALY all significantly increased over time, despite declining mortality at High and High-middle SDI levels (p < 0.001). Notably, every 5-year decrease in age was associated with a 0.30% (95% confidence interval 0.27% to 0.33%) higher AAPC in incidence rate and a 0.08% (0.06% to 0.10%) higher AAPC in DALY rate for T2D in women. By 2050, the age-standardized DALY of T1D and T2D are expected to decline and rise respectively, with both experiencing an increasing proportion of their burden attributed to non-fatal ones.

conclusionsDiabetes imposes a significant burden on women throughout their lifespan. Despite improved survival, T1D incidence in women has increased, especially at High SDI. The growing incidence and DALY of T2D represent another concern, with a notable shift toward younger women. The proportional non-fatal burden of T1D and T2D is forecasted to increase by 2050, highlighting the need for effective prevention and long-term management.

Indexed as

Diabetes MellitusDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Global Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthWomen's HealthAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedRisk FactorsGlobal burden of diseaseProjectionType 1 diabetesType 2 diabetesWomen

Identifiers

PMID41063096
PMCPMC12506318

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.