Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41062989›Full record

Trial reportBMC gastroenterology2025

Development and validation of a machine learning-based prediction model for prolonged length of stay after laparoscopic gastrointestinal surgery: a secondary analysis of the FDP-PONV trial.

Jiankun Shi, Yabin Huang, Jiaxin Han, Shimin Zhang, Xingshan Cheng, Tongfeng Luo

Registry-linked trialAbstract readValidation StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in BMC gastroenterology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04853147 (Triple Combination of Fosaprepitant, Dexamethasone and Palonosetron Versus Combination of Dexamethasone and Palonosetron for the Prevention of Postoperative Nausea and Vomiting in Patients Undergoing Laparoscopic Gastrointestinal Surgery), which is not on this map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04853147 phase3completednot on this map

Triple Combination of Fosaprepitant, Dexamethasone and Palonosetron Versus Combination of Dexamethasone and Palonosetron for the Prevention of Postoperative Nausea and Vomiting in Patients Undergoing Laparoscopic Gastrointestinal Surgery

TypeinterventionalSponsorSixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen UniversityRan2021 to 2022Enrolled1,154ConditionsC.Surgical Procedure, GastrointestinalArmspalonosetron, dexamethasone, and fosaprepitant dissolved in 0.9% NaCl, palonosetron, dexamethasone, and 0.9% NaCl
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jiankun Shi *Department of Anesthesia, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, No.26 Yuancunerheng Road, Guangzhou, 510655, China.
Yabin Huang *Department of Anesthesia, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, No.26 Yuancunerheng Road, Guangzhou, 510655, China.
Jiaxin Han *Department of Anesthesia, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, No.26 Yuancunerheng Road, Guangzhou, 510655, China.
Shimin ZhangDepartment of Anesthesia, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, No.26 Yuancunerheng Road, Guangzhou, 510655, China.
Xingshan ChengDepartment of Anesthesia, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, No.26 Yuancunerheng Road, Guangzhou, 510655, China.
Tongfeng LuoDepartment of Anesthesia, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, No.26 Yuancunerheng Road, Guangzhou, 510655, China. luotf3@mail.sysu.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundProlonged postoperative length of stay (PLOS) is associated with several clinical risks and increased medical costs. This study aimed to develop a prediction model for PLOS based on clinical features throughout pre-, intra-, and post-operative periods in patients undergoing laparoscopic gastrointestinal surgery.

methodsThis secondary analysis included patients who underwent laparoscopic gastrointestinal surgery in the FDP-PONV randomized controlled trial. This study defined PLOS as a postoperative length of stay longer than 7 days. All clinical features prospectively collected in the FDP-PONV trial were used to generate the models. This study employed six machine learning algorithms including logistic regression, K-nearest neighbor, gradient boosting machine, random forest, support vector machine, and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). The model performance was evaluated by numerous metrics including area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and interpreted using shapley additive explanations (SHAP).

resultsCases on or before 2021–12-18 formed the training cohort (802 patients) and those after that date formed the validation cohort (339 patients). Among the models evaluated, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance in the validation cohort, achieving an AUC of 0.756. After five times repeated tenfold cross-validation, the XGBoost model demonstrated a mean AUC of 0.816. SHAP plots were generated based on the predictors: education level; preoperative hypoalbuminemia and insufficient sleep; surgery type and duration; blood loss; postoperative hypotension; postoperative albumin infusion; highest pain score during 73–120 h after surgery; time to first flatus and defecation; postoperative infection; and postoperative acute kidney injury.

conclusionsThis study developed a prediction model using machine learning to identify patients at high risk of PLOS after laparoscopic gastrointestinal surgery.

trial registrationThe FDP-PONV trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04853147) on 2021–04-27.

Indexed as

Digestive System Surgical ProceduresLaparoscopyLength of StayMachine LearningPredictive Learning ModelsBoosting Machine Learning AlgorithmsClassification AlgorithmsFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsPostoperative ComplicationsPrediction AlgorithmsRandom ForestROC CurveGastrointestinal surgeryLength of hospital stayPrediction model

Identifiers

PMID41062989
PMCPMC12505985

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.