Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41062128›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2025

The economic burden of rheumatic heart disease in the Eastern Mediterranean Region.

Khalifa Elmusharaf, Sébastien Poix, Emil Basil Scaria, Mariyam Saherwala, Matilda Byström, Asmus Hammerich, Abdirahman Khalif Mohamud, Hicham El Berri, Eiman Hag

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ global health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Khalifa ElmusharafPublic Health, University of Birmingham Dubai, Dubai, UAE.ORCID 0000-0001-8652-1867
Sébastien PoixSchool of Medicine, University of Limerick, Limerick, Ireland.ORCID 0000-0002-8509-2447
Emil Basil ScariaPublic Health, University of Birmingham Dubai, Dubai, UAE emil.scaria@live.com.ORCID 0009-0007-2187-6035
Mariyam SaherwalaPublic Health, University of Birmingham Dubai, Dubai, UAE.
Matilda ByströmWorld Health Organisation Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean, Cairo, Egypt.
Asmus HammerichWorld Health Organisation Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean, Cairo, Egypt.
Abdirahman Khalif MohamudWorld Health Organisation Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean, Cairo, Egypt.
Hicham El BerriWorld Health Organisation Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean, Cairo, Egypt.
Eiman HagWorld Health Organisation Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean, Cairo, Egypt.

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionAcute rheumatic fever (ARF) is an immune response triggered by group A Streptococcus (GAS) infections, predominantly affecting children aged 5-15 years. Untreated ARF can progress to rheumatic heart disease (RHD), causing complications such as valve stenosis, heart failure and stroke. Despite preventability using antibiotics, RHD persists as a major health concern in many Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) countries. Beyond its health implications, RHD poses a significant economic burden on societies, emphasising the need for comprehensive solutions.

methodsAn economic analysis was conducted to estimate the burden of RHD in 22 countries of the EMR using data from secondary databases and existing research. The analysis modelled the future disease burden, using a scenario of inaction and considering population growth and changes in population structure. Economic losses associated with RHD were explored through five pathways, including the (a) direct healthcare costs of preventing and treating RHD and its complications, (b) cost of premature deaths, (c) cost of absenteeism in adult patients, (d) cost of absenteeism in caregivers and (e) future productivity losses due to unfulfilled potential in children.

resultsThe estimated economic burden of ARF, RHD and its related complications in the EMR was US$5.8 billion in 2020, amounting to 0.20% of the combined gross domestic product. Indirect costs accounted for 78% of the burden. 192 million prevalent cases and 1.5 million deaths were expected by 2050. The burden is projected to increase to US$166 billion between 2020 and 2050.

conclusionThe disease burden of RHD is rising in the EMR, widening health inequalities and straining resources. Careful planning and resource allocation based on economic evaluations are crucial to mitigate this issue. Regional governments must implement measures to address social determinants, enhance community awareness, improve surveillance and provide accessible healthcare services to effectively tackle this challenge.

Indexed as

Cost of IllnessHealth Care CostsRheumatic Heart DiseaseAdolescentAdultChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansMaleMediterranean RegionCardiovascular diseaseHealth economics

Identifiers

PMID41062128
PMCPMC12506036

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.