Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41057287›Full record

ArticleBiometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift2025

Multivariate Bayesian Dynamic Borrowing for Repeated Measures Data With Application to External Control Arms in Open-Label Extension Studies.

Benjamin F Hartley, Matthew A Psioda, Adrian P Mander

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Benjamin F HartleyVeramed Ltd., Twickenham, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0126-0678
Matthew A PsiodaDepartment of Biostatistics, GSK Research and Development, Collegeville, Pennsylvania, USA.
Adrian P ManderDepartment of Biostatistics, GSK Research and Development, London, UK.

Funding

GlaxoSmithKline
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Borrowing analyses are increasingly important in clinical trials. We develop a method for using robust mixture priors in multivariate dynamic borrowing. The method was motivated by a desire to produce causally valid, long-term treatment effect estimates of a continuous endpoint from a single active-arm open-label extension study following a randomized clinical trial by dynamically incorporating prior beliefs from a long-term external control arm. The proposed method is a generally applicable Bayesian dynamic borrowing analysis for estimates of multivariate summary metrics based on a multivariate normal likelihood function for various parameter models, some of which we describe. There are important connections to estimation incorporating a prior belief for a hypothetical estimand strategy, that is, had the event not occurred, for intercurrent events which lead to missing data.

Indexed as

BiometryRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicBayes TheoremHumansMultivariate Analysisclinical trial designexternal control armhistorical datainformative priormultivariate analysesrobust mixture priors

Identifiers

PMID41057287
PMCPMC12504158

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.