Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41057156›Full record

Observational studyEmergency medicine journal : EMJ2026

Application of Step-by-Step and Paediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network (PECARN) Clinical Decision Aids in the management of young febrile infants in a UK cohort.

Etimbuk Umana, Hannah Norman-Bruce, Clare Mills, Oenone Rodgers, Hannah Mitchell, Lisa McFetridge, Gareth McKeeman, Steve Foster, Michael Barrett, Damian Roland and 4 more

Abstract readObservational StudyMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Emergency medicine journal : EMJ, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Etimbuk UmanaWellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, Northern Ireland, UK etimbukumana@rcsi.ie.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0780-8614
Hannah Norman-BruceWellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, Northern Ireland, UK.
Clare MillsWellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, Northern Ireland, UK.
Oenone RodgersWellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, Northern Ireland, UK.
Hannah MitchellQueen's University Belfast School of Mathematics and Physics, Belfast, Northern Ireland, UK.
Lisa McFetridgeQueen's University Belfast School of Mathematics and Physics, Belfast, Northern Ireland, UK.
Gareth McKeemanCinical Chemistry, Belfast Health and Social Care Trust, Belfast, UK.
Steve FosterRoyal Hospital for Children Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Michael BarrettEmergency Medicine, Children's Health Ireland at Crumlin, Dublin, Ireland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1775-8347
Damian RolandPaediatric Emergency Medicine Leicester Academic (PEMLA) Group, Children's Emergency Department, Leicester Royal Infirmary, Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Mark D LyttleEmergency Department, Bristol Royal Children's Hospital, Bristol, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8634-7210
Chris WatsonWellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, Northern Ireland, UK.
Thomas WaterfieldEmergency Department, Royal Belfast Hospital for Sick Children, Belfast, UK.
Paediatric Emergency Research in the UK and Ireland (PERUKI)

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundYoung febrile infants are at high risk of invasive bacterial infections (IBIs). Clinical Decision Aids (CDA) such as the Step-by-Step and Paediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network (PECARN) use Procalcitonin (PCT), limiting their application in settings without PCT access. This study aimed to test the performance of these CDAs in a UK cohort.

methodsThis was a planned analysis of the Febrile Infant Diagnostic Assessment and Outcome Study, a large, prospective multicentre observational study conducted across over 30 sites in the UK. Febrile infants (0-90 days of age) with complete biomarker data, who also underwent PCT testing, were included. Two CDAs, PECARN and Step-by-Step, were applied to the cohort, using their recommended low-risk criteria. The diagnostic performance of the CDAs was analysed.

resultsOf the 1527 infants who completed biomarker testing in the main study, 442 had PCT testing and were included, 22 (5%) were diagnosed with an IBI. PECARN and Step-by-Step CDAs demonstrated sensitivities of 1.00 (95% CI: 0.85 to 1.00) and 0.96 (95% CI: 0.77 to 1.00) respectively. The PECARN CDA performed with a specificity of 0.14 (95% CI: 0.11 to 0.18) identifying 14% of the participants as low-risk and did not misclassify any infants. The Step-by-Step CDA performed with a specificity of 0.15 (95% CI: 0.12 to 0.19) identifying 14% of the participants as low-risk and misclassifying one participant with IBI as low-risk.

conclusionBoth PECARN and Step-by-Step CDAs demonstrated high sensitivity for detecting IBI in our cohort. While specificity was relatively low, these tools could potentially identify a subset of low-risk infants suitable for less intensive management.

Indexed as

Bacterial InfectionsDecision Support TechniquesFeverBiomarkersCohort StudiesFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleProcalcitoninProspective StudiesSensitivity and SpecificityUnited KingdomBiomarkersProcalcitoninbacterialDiagnostic Testsinfections

Identifiers

PMID41057156
PMCPMC13018732

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.