Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41052919›Full record

SynthesisHeart (British Cardiac Society)2025

Frequent premature ventricular complexes and risk of atrial fibrillation, heart failure, stroke and mortality: a meta-analysis.

Mustafa Eray Kiliç, Mehmet Emin Arayici, Resit Yigit Yilancioglu, Oguzhan Ekrem Turan, Emin Evren Ozcan, Mehmet Birhan Yilmaz

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Heart (British Cardiac Society), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Observational
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Mustafa Eray KiliçDepartment of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, İzmir, Turkey.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0894-8790
Mehmet Emin ArayiciDepartment of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, İzmir, Turkey mehmetemin.arayici@deu.edu.tr.
Resit Yigit YilanciogluDepartment of Cardiology, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, İzmir, Turkey.
Oguzhan Ekrem TuranDepartment of Cardiology, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, İzmir, Turkey.
Emin Evren OzcanDepartment of Cardiology, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, İzmir, Turkey.
Mehmet Birhan YilmazDepartment of Cardiology, Faculty of Medicine, Dokuz Eylul University, İzmir, Turkey.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

aimFrequent premature ventricular complexes (PVCs) have historically been regarded as benign in structurally normal hearts, yet emerging evidence suggests substantial cardiovascular risk. This meta-analysis aimed to quantify associations between frequent PVCs and incident atrial fibrillation, heart failure, stroke and all-cause mortality in adults without established cardiovascular disease.

methodsPubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL, Web of Science and Scopus were searched through February 2025. Databases were searched from inception to February 2025. Eligible studies employed standardised PVC assessment methods with a minimum 12-month follow-up reporting adjusted effect estimates. Data were independently extracted and quality was assessed (Risk of Bias in Non-randomized Studies of Interventions) by two reviewers. Random-effects meta-analyses yielded pooled HRs with 95% CIs and prediction intervals (PI). Study-level meta-regression was used to evaluate dose-response relationships, and heterogeneity sources were explored via further meta-regression. OUTCOMES: 20 articles (17 studies; 26 783 590 participants) were analysed. Frequent PVCs were significantly associated with increased risks of atrial fibrillation (HR 1.69, 95% CI 1.39 to 2.05; PI 0.91-3.12), heart failure (HR 1.73, 95% CI 1.50 to 2.00; PI 1.18-2.54), stroke (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.50; PI 0.90-1.82) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.56; PI 0.79-2.18). Heterogeneity was substantially reduced in sensitivity analyses restricted to Holter-quantified PVCs. Meta-regression identified a 5.4% increased atrial fibrillation risk per 1% increment in PVC burden.

conclusionFrequent PVCs confer significantly increased cardiovascular risks in populations largely without overt structural heart disease, though baseline cardiac assessment varied across studies. Patients with frequent PVCs (≥500/day) may benefit from periodic echocardiography and rhythm monitoring to detect early structural or arrhythmic progression. Randomised trials are needed to determine if PVC burden-guided interventions can reduce cardiovascular risk. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD420251006111.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationHeart FailureStrokeVentricular Premature ComplexesGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsAtrial FibrillationHeart FailureRisk FactorsStrokeVentricular Premature Complexes

Identifiers

PMID41052919
PMCPMC12703303

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.