Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41048917›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in psychiatry2025

Burden and trends of major depressive disorders among women of childbearing age and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: insights from the global burden of disease study 2021.

Guobin Liao, Jiaoxue Wang, Qiaozhi Yu, Honglin Ma, Hezhong Yan, Zhaoyun He, Jun Tang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in psychiatry, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Guobin LiaoDepartment of Gastroenterology, The 901 Hospital of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Joint Service Support Unit, Hefei, China.
Jiaoxue WangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The 901 Hospital of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Joint Service Support Unit, Hefei, China.
Qiaozhi YuDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, The 901 Hospital of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Joint Service Support Unit, Hefei, China.
Honglin MaDepartment of Gastroenterology, The 901 Hospital of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Joint Service Support Unit, Hefei, China.
Hezhong YanDepartment of Gastroenterology, The 901 Hospital of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Joint Service Support Unit, Hefei, China.
Zhaoyun HeDepartment of Liver Disease, The Fifth Medical Center of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) General Hospital, Beijing, China.
Jun TangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The 901 Hospital of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Joint Service Support Unit, Hefei, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Major depressive disorder (MDD) exhibits a pronounced female predominance, contributing substantially to disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) among women of childbearing age (WCBA; 15-49 years). The COVID-19 pandemic intensified this burden via psychosocial stressors and disrupted healthcare access, yet integrated analyses of pre- and post-pandemic trends are scarce. Methods: Leveraging GBD 2021 data, we assessed MDD prevalence, incidence, and DALYs among WCBA globally, regionally, and nationally (1990-2021). Burden estimates were reported as point values with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Temporal trends were quantified via estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) and absolute percentage change (PC). We employed autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to compare pre-pandemic (1990-2019) and pandemic-inclusive (1990-2021) projections through 2036. Results: Global prevalent cases among WCBA surged from 49.6 million (95% UI: 41.6 to 60.2) in 1990 to 85.6 million (95% UI: 70.3 to 103.8) in 2021, reflecting a 25.7% acceleration during 2019-2021 versus 1.2% annual growth pre-pandemic. Prevalence rates declined marginally pre-2019 (EAPC: -0.38, 95% CI: -0.48 to -0.29) but reversed sharply post-pandemic (EAPC: 11.47, 95% CI: -0.56 to 24.95), reaching 4,394.55 per 100,000 population in 2021. Regionally, middle and low-middle socio-demographic index (SDI) regions accounted for over 55% of global cases (23 million [95% UI: 18.9 to 27.8] and 24.2 million [95% UI: 19.6 to 29.9], respectively) in 2021, while low SDI regions showed the fastest growth (160% since 1990). High-SDI regions exhibited extremes: the highest 2021 prevalence rate (5915.76 per 100,000 population) and steepest post-2019 surge (EAPC: 13.66). In 2021, the prevalence rates were highest in high-income North America (8403.17 per 100,000 population) and lowest in East Asia (1856.99 per 100,000 population). Nationally, India reported the highest prevalent cases (16.3 million, 19% of global share), while Greenland had the highest prevalence rate (13,822.85 per 100,000 population). Adolescents (15-19 years) experienced the largest pandemic-driven increase (30.06% PC), except in East Asia where prevalence rates declined (-11.53%). ARIMA projections suggest 103.06 million global prevalent cases by 2036-32% above pre-pandemic estimates-with high SDI regions persisting at 5,617.68 per 100,000 population. Conclusions: Our analysis reveals a dual crisis: high SDI regions face entrenched high prevalence rates (5,617.68 per 100,000 population projected), while low SDI regions carry substantial burden (4,593.77 per 100,000) with rapid case expansion (160% since 1990). The pandemic disproportionately impacted adolescents globally (+30.06% PC), yet East Asia demonstrated resilience (-11.53% PC). These findings demand stratified interventions: digital mental health tools in high-income settings, community-based screening in resource-limited areas, and adolescent-focused programs worldwide. Immediate policy action is needed to avert intergenerational mental health consequences.

Indexed as

COVID-19 pandemicdisease burdenGBD 2021major depressive disorderwomen of childbearing age

Identifiers

PMID41048917
PMCPMC12489947

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.