Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41048597›Full record

ArticlePreventive medicine reports2025

Global burden of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease from 1990 to 2021 and the prediction for the next 10 years.

Zhuang Lin, Ruixin Zhang, Shuhao Ren, Tingjuan He, Hongfei Mi, Wei Jiang, Chenghao Su

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Preventive medicine reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Cannabidiol-Ion Channel Interactions Represent a Promising Preventive and Therapeutic Strategy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.Pathophysiology : the official journal of the International Society for Pathophysiology · 2026
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Zhuang LinSchool of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, China.
Ruixin ZhangSchool of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, China.
Shuhao RenSchool of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, China.
Tingjuan HeDepartment of Public Health, Zhongshan Hospital (Xiamen), Fudan University, Xiamen 361015, Fujian, China.
Hongfei MiDepartment of Public Health, Zhongshan Hospital (Xiamen), Fudan University, Xiamen 361015, Fujian, China.
Wei JiangDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Zhongshan Hospital (Xiamen), Fudan University, Xiamen 361015, Fujian, China.
Chenghao SuDepartment of Public Health, Zhongshan Hospital (Xiamen), Fudan University, Xiamen 361015, Fujian, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is a leading cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. Although the update of the MASLD practice guidelines and the approval of Resmetirom have brought new progress in the prevention and treatment of MASLD, this disease still has not received sufficient attention and remains a major public health issue. Methods: Age-standardized incidence (ASIR), prevalence (ASPR), mortality (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life years (ASDR) rates of MASLD from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2021. The estimated annual percentage change was calculated using linear regression. Six time-series models were used for training and comparison, and the optimal model was selected to predict the disease burden from 2022 to 2031. Results: Globally, the ASIR, ASPR, ASMR, and ASDR all exhibited upward trends. Regionally, Western Europe showed the fastest growth in ASIR and ASPR. Eastern Europe showed the fastest growth in ASMR and ASDR, whereas the high-income Asia Pacific demonstrated the most pronounced decline. The hybrid model best predicted ASIR (615.70/100,000) and ASPR (15,275.60/100,000) for 2031, the Neural Network Autoregressive model optimized ASMR (1.64/100,000), and Prophet projected ASDR to decline to 42.08/100,000. Conclusions: The MASLD burden has increased globally and is projected to continue escalating. It is suggested that the MASLD screening be integrated into the non-communicable diseases program and be prioritized for monitoring in high-burden areas.

Indexed as

Global burden of disease studyMetabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver diseasePublic healthTemporal trendsTime series models

Identifiers

PMID41048597
PMCPMC12495469

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.