Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41048053›Full record

ArticleArthritis care & research2026

Serum Soluble Mediator Signatures of Lupus Nephritis: Histologic Features and Response to Treatment.

Andrea Fava, Catriona A Wagner, Carla J Guthridge, Susan Macwana, Wade DeJager, Melissa E Munroe, Peter Izmirly, H Michael Belmont, Betty Diamond, Anne Davidson and 17 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arthritis care & research, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

27 authors.

Andrea FavaJohns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0001-6738-4836
Catriona A WagnerOklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City.
Carla J GuthridgeOklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City.
Susan MacwanaOklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City.
Wade DeJagerOklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City.
Melissa E MunroeOklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City.
Peter IzmirlyNew York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York.
H Michael BelmontNew York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York.
Betty DiamondFeinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Manhasset, New York.
Anne DavidsonFeinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Manhasset, New York.ORCID 0000-0002-4081-6464
Paul J UtzStanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California.
Michael H WeismanCedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California.
Philip M CarlucciNew York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York.ORCID 0000-0002-9729-4572
Maria Dall'EraUniversity of California San Francisco.
Kenneth KalunianUniversity of California San Diego.
Chaim PuttermanAlbert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York.ORCID 0000-0002-3204-6068
Jennifer AnolikUniversity of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, New York.
Jennifer L BarnasUniversity of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, New York.ORCID 0000-0002-6033-4403
David WofsyUniversity of California San Francisco.
Diane KamenMedical University of South Carolina, Charleston.
Richard A FurieNorthwell Health, Great Neck, New York.ORCID 0000-0001-6712-1585
Deepak A RaoBrigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.ORCID 0000-0001-9672-7746
Accelerating Medicines Partnership Rheumatoid Arthritis and Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Network
Michelle PetriJohns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0003-1441-5373
Joel M GuthridgeOklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City.
Jill BuyonNew York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York.ORCID 0000-0002-3852-7129
Judith A JamesOklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City.ORCID 0000-0002-9574-7355

Funding

ZOVIRAX CREAM TO TREAT HERPES LABIALIS IN ADOLESCENTSM01RR000827 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI HAAS, RICHARD H · 1985 to 2010
$74.3M
ZDV &3TC NEVIRAPINE COMBINATION THERAPY IN HIV 1 INFECTED INFANTS &M01RR000865 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI WASHINGTON, ARNOLD E. · 1985 to 2011
$43.4M
Accelerating Medicines Partnership-Autoimmune and Immunologic Disease Tissue Research Core Admin Supplement: Preclinical Studies in Sjogren'sUC2AR081032 · NIAMS · OKLAHOMA MEDICAL RESEARCH FOUNDATION · PI Joel Marvin Guthridge, JUDITH A JAMES · 2022 to 2026
$30.7M
PEARL: Pathway Exploration and Analysis in Renal LupusUH2AR067688 · NIAMS · FEINSTEIN INSTITUTE FOR MEDICAL RESEARCH · PI DIAMOND, BETTY, WOFSY, DAVID · 2014 to 2020
$9.0M
Oklahoma Rheumatic Disease Research Cores Center (Overall Application)P30AR073750 · NIAMS · OKLAHOMA MEDICAL RESEARCH FOUNDATION · PI JUDITH A JAMES · 2018 to 2026
$8.5M
Tissue Acquisition Research GroupUM2AR067678 · NIAMS · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI HOLERS, VERNON MICHAEL, UTZ, PAUL JOSEPH · 2014 to 2020
$8.2M
Multi-Ethnic Translational Research Optimization (METRO) Lupus ConsortiumUH2AR067689 · NIAMS · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI BUYON, JILL P, PUTTERMAN, CHAIM · 2014 to 2020
$6.3M
Lupus Omics Cutaneous Kidney Investigative Team (LOCKIT) - Pain SupplementUC2AR081039 · NIAMS · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI Jill P Buyon, MICHELLE A PETRI · 2022 to 2026
$6.3M
Evolving Adaptive and Effector Mechanisms from Pre-RA Through Established DiseaseUH2AR067681 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI HOLERS, VERNON MICHAEL · 2014 to 2020
$5.5M
Molecular and Cellular Dissection of Early Rheumatoid ArthritisUH2AR067694 · NIAMS · FEINSTEIN INSTITUTE FOR MEDICAL RESEARCH · PI BRENNER, MICHAEL B., GREGERSEN, PETER K. · 2014 to 2020
$5.4M
Autoimmune Drivers and Protectors Team Science (ADAPTS)U01AI176244 · NIAID · OKLAHOMA MEDICAL RESEARCH FOUNDATION · PI JUDITH A JAMES, Jeffrey C Rathmell · 2023 to 2026
$5.1M
RA-SLE Molecular Deconstruction Leadership CenterUH2AR067677 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI BRENNER, MICHAEL B., RAYCHAUDHURI, SOUMYA · 2014 to 2020
$4.3M
Lupus Foundation of America G-2104-01274National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases AI144292NCRR NIH HHS M01 RR000827NCRR NIH HHS M01 RR000865NIAID NIH HHS K08 AI168450NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI176244NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI144292NIAMS NIH HHS AI176244NIAMS NIH HHS AR067676NIAMS NIH HHS AR067677NIAMS NIH HHS AR067678NIAMS NIH HHS AR067679NIAMS NIH HHS AR067681NIAMS NIH HHS AR067685NIAMS NIH HHS AR067688NIAMS NIH HHS AR067689NIAMS NIH HHS AR067690NIAMS NIH HHS AR067691NIAMS NIH HHS AR067694NIAMS NIH HHS AR073750NIAMS NIH HHS AR081032NIAMS NIH HHS AR081039NIAMS NIH HHS P30 AR073750NIAMS NIH HHS UC2 AR081032NIAMS NIH HHS UC2 AR081039NIAMS NIH HHS UH2 AR067676NIAMS NIH HHS UH2 AR067677NIAMS NIH HHS UH2 AR067679NIAMS NIH HHS UH2 AR067681NIAMS NIH HHS UH2 AR067685NIAMS NIH HHS UH2 AR067688NIAMS NIH HHS UH2 AR067689NIAMS NIH HHS UH2 AR067690NIAMS NIH HHS UH2 AR067691NIAMS NIH HHS UH2 AR067694NIAMS NIH HHS UM2 AR067678NIDDK NIH HHS DK134625NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK134625
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveLupus nephritis (LN) management remains challenging, and novel noninvasive biomarkers are needed. This study quantified serum soluble mediators in the Accelerating Medicines Partnership (AMP) LN cohort to identify biomarkers of histologic features and treatment response.

methodsPatients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) (n = 268) undergoing clinically indicated kidney biopsies (urine protein/creatinine ratio [UPCR] ≥ 0.5) were recruited through the AMP Rheumatoid Arthritis and SLE Network. Serum was collected at biopsy and 3-, 6-, and 12-month postbiopsy, alongside samples from 22 healthy controls. Concentrations of 66 immune mediators were quantified using xMAP multiplex assays, and (TACE) measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Seven mediators with >95% values below detection limits were excluded from analyses. Bootstrapped least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression identified proliferative LN (class III/IV ± V) predictors from baseline mediators. Associations with 12-month treatment response (complete/partial vs no response) were tested using three-month changes in LASSO-selected mediators and UPCR via logistic regression. Molecular clustering of mediator profiles was performed to identify LN subgroups.

resultsProliferative patients with LN (class [III or IV] ± V; n = 160) displayed a distinct mediator profile compared with nonproliferative LN (class I, II, or V; n = 96). LASSO regression identified 20 mediators predictive of proliferative LN (areas under the curve, 0.82; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.81-0.91), including elevated syndecan-1, tumor necrosis factor receptor type I, tumor necrosis factor receptor type II, and vascular cell adhesion molecule 1 (VCAM-1), as well as decreased CCL3//macrophage inflammatory protein 1α, CD40 ligand, and interleukin-5 levels. Among proliferative patients with LN, 3-month reductions in syndecan-1 and VCAM-1, mediators associated with intrarenal LN activity and/or chronicity, predicted the 12-month treatment response. A model incorporated these reductions and a decline in UPCR-predicted treatment response in proliferative LN (0.90; 95% CI, 0.82-0.98). Molecular clustering revealed four distinct LN subgroups with unique soluble mediator signatures and clinical features not captured by histology alone.

conclusionSerum soluble mediators, particularly syndecan-1 and VCAM-1, reflect LN histologic activity, and early decreases predict treatment response, supporting their potential use as noninvasive longitudinal biomarkers. The substantial heterogeneity within LN highlights the potential for biomarker-guided reclassification to advance precision medicine approaches.

Indexed as

KidneyLupus NephritisAdultBiomarkersBiopsyCase-Control StudiesFemaleHumansImmunosuppressive AgentsMaleMiddle AgedTreatment OutcomeBiomarkersImmunosuppressive Agents

Identifiers

PMID41048053
PMCPMC12767624

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.