Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41047137›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2026

Comparative benefits, burdens, and harms of emerging blood-based tests for colorectal cancer screening.

Reinier G S Meester, Andrew J Piscitello, Joseph A Duimstra, Peter S Liang, Aasma Shaukat, Theodore R Levin

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Reinier G S MeesterHealth Economics and Outcomes Research, Freenome Holdings, Inc, Brisbane, CA, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-4645-1221
Andrew J PiscitelloScientific and Medical Affairs, Freenome Holdings, Inc, San Francisco, CA, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-7471-6472
Joseph A DuimstraDuimstra Consulting, LLC, San Francisco, CA, United States.
Peter S LiangGrossman School of Medicine, New York University, New York, NY, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-4160-421X
Aasma ShaukatGrossman School of Medicine, New York University, New York, NY, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-2446-8858
Theodore R LevinDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente, Pleasanton, CA, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-0842-2377

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEmerging blood tests may improve colorectal cancer (CRC) screening uptake and outcomes but are less sensitive for advanced precancerous lesions than some currently recommended tests. We examine whether these tests meet expectations for the US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommendation.

methodsA decision-analytic model that informed USPSTF was replicated and used to estimate the lifetime benefits (averted CRC cases and deaths, life-years gained [LYG]), burdens (required screening tests and colonoscopies), and harms (colonoscopy-related complications) for annual, biennial, or triennial blood testing through age 45-75 years vs a benchmark of recommended and contemporary stool-based strategies, with colonoscopy screening as the reference. Base-case analyses assumed 100% adherence. Sensitivity analyses evaluated more realistic scenarios.

resultsAmong benchmark strategies, colonoscopy screening had the most benefit, with an estimated 30 CRC deaths averted, 356 LYG, 4270 colonoscopies required, and 15 complications per 1000 adults; stool-based strategies resulted in 81% to 88% of LYG for colonoscopy, 6829-19 476 screening tests, 1523-1880 colonoscopies, and 9-10 complications. By comparison, annual blood testing resulted in 85% to 87% of LYG for colonoscopy and an intermediate number of screenings, colonoscopies, and complications. Biennial and triennial blood testing provided 57% to 72% of LYG for colonoscopy but resulted in net population benefit under plausible scenarios for increased utilization vs existing strategies.

conclusionsThe estimated benefits, burdens, and harms of annual blood testing are within the range of current CRC screening strategies. Biennial and triennial testing should also be considered for recommendation given the potential for increased utilization and net population benefit.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsEarly Detection of CancerMass ScreeningOccult BloodAgedColonoscopyDecision Support TechniquesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedUnited States

Identifiers

PMID41047137
PMCPMC12794204

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.