ArticleScientific reports2025
Prediction of potential suitable habitats for Liriomyza sativae blanchard in China under climate change scenarios.
Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Liriomyza sativae is a significant agricultural pest globally, inflicting damage on a wide array of crops and spreading at alarming rates. Our study aims to thoroughly investigate the potential habitat of this pest in China under varying climate change scenarios. Here, the MaxEnt model was employed to predict current and future potential suitable habitat for L. sativae in China, based on 102 distribution points and 7 key environmental variables. The test set's average AUC was 0.895 with a standard deviation of 0.014, indicating accurate and reliable simulation results. Jackknife analysis revealed that annual mean temperature (Bio01), precipitation seasonality (Bio15), and precipitation of wettest quarter (Bio16) have the most significant impacts on the potential geographical habitat of L. sativae. Under current climate conditions, this pest posed a potential threat to all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities in China, with a total area of potential suitable habitats of 540.8×10
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