Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41041651›Full record

ArticleTransboundary and emerging diseases2025

Modelling the Lodi, 2023 and Fano 2024, Italy Dengue Outbreaks: The Effects of Control Strategies and Environmental Extremes.

Steven M White, Sandeep Tegar, Bethan V Purse, Christina A Cobbold, Dominic P Brass

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Transboundary and emerging diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Steven M WhiteUK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Benson Lane, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3192-9969
Sandeep TegarUK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Benson Lane, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0003-2445-9860
Bethan V PurseUK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Benson Lane, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5140-2710
Christina A CobboldSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, College of Science and Engineering, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8814-7688
Dominic P BrassUK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Benson Lane, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4900-9124

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Autochthonous cases of dengue in Europe are increasing. In 2023 (Lodi province) and 2024 (Fano, Pesaro and Urbino province), Italy saw the largest modern dengue outbreaks to date. Public health measures were adopted to mitigate transmission. The efficacy of these measures is unknown. We model the 2023 and 2024 dengue outbreaks to estimate the likely date of introduction of the primary case and efficacy of control measures, exploring explanations for the patterns of dengue cases for the two outbreaks. We apply a climate-driven mathematical model for

Indexed as

DengueDisease OutbreaksMosquito ControlAedesAnimalsDengue VirusHumansItalyModels, TheoreticalMosquito VectorsAedes albopictusarboviruscontroldenguemosquito-borne diseaseoutbreakpublic health

Identifiers

PMID41041651
PMCPMC12488316

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.