Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41039228›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2025

Global burden of MDR-TB and XDR-TB: trends, inequities, and future implications for public health planning.

En-Li Tan, Yu Qin, Jian Yang, Xiao-Jie Li, Tian-Qi Liu, Guo-Bing Yang, Yong-Jun Li, Zhen-Zhen Zhang, Zhen-Hui Lu, Ji-Chun Wang and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

En-Li Tan *The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China.
Yu Qin *Department of Science and Technology, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 102206, China.
Jian YangDepartment of Science and Technology, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 102206, China.
Xiao-Jie LiDepartment of Science and Technology, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 102206, China.
Tian-Qi LiuDepartment of Science and Technology, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 102206, China.
Guo-Bing YangGansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Lanzhou, 730000, Gansu, China.
Yong-Jun LiGansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Lanzhou, 730000, Gansu, China.
Zhen-Zhen ZhangShenzhen University General Hospital, Shenzhen, 518055, China.
Zhen-Hui LuLonghua Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Ji-Chun WangDepartment of Science and Technology, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 102206, China. wangjc@chinacdc.cn.
Jin-Xin ZhengNational Institute of Parasitic Diseases at Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research); NHC Key Laboratory of Parasite and Vector Biology; WHO Collaborating Centre for Tropical Diseases; National Center for International Research On Tropical Diseases, National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, Shanghai, 200025, China. jamesjin63@163.com.
Shun-Xian ZhangLonghua Hospital, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, 200032, China. zhangshunxian110@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDrug-resistant tuberculosis (TB) remains a major global health threat, reflecting disparities in healthcare capacity, access, and socioeconomic development. Previous research often lacks geographic breadth. This study provides a comprehensive assessment of the global, regional, and national burden of Multidrug-resistant TB without extensive drug resistance (MDR-TB) and extensively drug-resistant TB(XDR-TB) from in Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021 Study 1990 to 2021, with a focus on distributional inequities. The findings aim to guide resource prioritization, inform targeted interventions, and reduce the burden in high-risk populations.

methodsWe systematically assessed the global, regional, and national burden of MDR-TB and XDR-TB, along with their change trends from 1990 to 2021, using data from the GBD 2021 database. The indicators included age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), prevalence rate (ASPR), mortality rate (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life-years rate (ASDR). ASDR was analyzed in conjunction with the sociodemographic index (SDI) for a comprehensive assessment. Health inequalities were quantified using the slope index of inequality (SII) and concentration index (CCI). Frontier analysis estimated the achievable outcomes across different development levels, while decomposition analysis identified the key factors driving changes in disease burden.

resultsIn 2021, the global ASIR of MDR-TB was 5.42 per 100,000 population [95% uncertainty interval(UI): 3.17, 9.34]), and the ASIR of XDR-TB was 0.29 per 100,000 population (95% UI: 0.21, 0.42). From 1990 to 2021, the ASIR of MDR-TB [AAPC = 0.14%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.13, 0.14] and XDR-TB (AAPC = 0.01%, 95% CI: 0.01, 0.02) both showed an increasing trend. The ASIR and ASMR of MDR-TB increased in low and low-middle SDI regions. Similarly, the ASIR and ASMR of XDR-TB increased in all five SDI regions. The ASIR of MDR-TB increased in 155 countries, with the largest increase observed in Somalia (AAPC = 1.79%, 95% CI: 1.67, 1.92). The ASIR of XDR-TB increased in all countries. From 1990 to 2021, both absolute and relative health inequalities in the ASDR of MDR-TB and XDR-TB have grown. In addition, the ASIR and incidence of MDR-TB and XDR-TB are negatively correlated with SDI.

conclusionThe burden of MDR-TB/XIDR-TB is projected to increase, with persistent disparities concentrated in low-SDI settings. Targeted public health strategies-including improved resource allocation, infrastructure development, and community health education-are essential to reduce inequities. Strengthening these efforts may enhance global TB control and advance progress toward health equity.

Indexed as

Extensively Drug-Resistant TuberculosisPublic HealthTuberculosis, Multidrug-ResistantAdultDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceSocioeconomic FactorsDecomposition analysisFrontier analysisGlobal burden of disease 2021Health inequalityMDR-TBXDR-TB

Identifiers

PMID41039228
PMCPMC12490063

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.