Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41036672›Full record

ArticleObesity (Silver Spring, Md.)2026

Deviation From Genetically Predicted BMI and All-Cause Mortality: A Cohort Study in the UK Biobank.

Nuno R Zilhao, Jie Zhang, Dorret I Boomsma, Thorkild I A Sørensen, Christina C Dahm

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Obesity (Silver Spring, Md.), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Nuno R ZilhaoDepartment of Public Health, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4648-4288
Jie ZhangSteno Diabetes Center Aarhus, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1985-5485
Dorret I BoomsmaComplex Trait Genetics, Center for Neurogenomics and Cognitive Research, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Thorkild I A SørensenNovo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research and Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, and Centre for Childhood Health, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Christina C DahmDepartment of Public Health, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.

Funding

Novo Nordisk Foundation NNF22OC0079632
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe relation between genetically predicted BMI (gBMI) and actual BMI may have health effects. This study examines the relationship between deviations from gBMI and all-cause mortality in 208,146 UK Biobank participants.

methodsWe derived gBMI from polygenic risk scores, with deviations calculated as the difference between observed and predicted BMI. Cox proportional hazards models are adjusted for confounders and current BMI.

resultsDownward deviations (> 2 SD below gBMI) were associated with significantly increased mortality (HR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.01-1.55), whereas upward deviations (> 2 SD above) showed no significant effect (HR: 1.10, 95% CI: 0.93-1.29). The mortality exhibited the known nonlinear J-shaped association with observed BMI, here lowest at BMI ~22 kg/m

conclusionsThese findings highlight the possible importance of aligning current BMI to genetic predisposition, and future research should examine BMI deviations and their long-term health effects. This perspective may inform personalized obesity management strategies to optimize health outcomes.

Indexed as

Body Mass IndexMortalityObesityAdultAgedBiological Specimen BanksCause of DeathCohort StudiesFemaleGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseHumansMaleMiddle AgedMultifactorial InheritanceProportional Hazards ModelsRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID41036672
PMCPMC12724034

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.