Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41035683›Full record

ArticleiScience2025

Unpacking Ross River virus trends in Queensland: Regional insights and predictive modeling.

Wei Qian, Kathryn Glass, David Harley, Elvina Viennet, Cameron Hurst

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in iScience, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Wei QianSchool of Public Health, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Kathryn GlassNational Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Australian National University, Acton, ACT, Australia.
David HarleyThe University of Queensland, UQ Centre for Clinical Research, Herston, QLD, Australia.
Elvina ViennetStrategy and Growth, Australian Red Cross Lifeblood, Kelvin Grove, QLD, Australia.
Cameron HurstDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Thammasat University, Pathum Thani, Thailand.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Ross River virus (RRV) transmission cycle varies across Queensland, Australia. Identifying key exposures associated with regional RRV incidence can aid disease prevention and control. Using RRV notification data from 2001 to 2020, we developed negative binomial generalized linear models to predict RRV incidence across three Queensland regions categorized by thermal climate zones (Hot, Warm, and Dry). Predictors and RRV trends differed across regions, indicating unique transmission patterns: seasonally driven in the Hot region, outbreak driven in the Warm region, and a mixed transmission pattern in the Dry region. The important predictors included recent RRV cases, normalized difference vegetation index (vegetation cover density), accessibility/remoteness index of Australia scores (indicating remoteness), and land use proportions. These findings enhance the understanding of local RRV transmission dynamics, highlight primary environmental drivers of transmission, and inform targeted disease management strategies. This approach may also benefit studies on other vector-borne diseases with complex transmission cycles in varying environments and climates.

Indexed as

Public healthVirology

Identifiers

PMID41035683
PMCPMC12481133

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.