ArticleRadiotherapy and oncology : journal of the European Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology2025
Deep learning NTCP model for late dysphagia after radiotherapy for head and neck cancer patients based on 3D dose, CT and segmentations.
Article in Radiotherapy and oncology : journal of the European Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Digital Twins for Targeted Therapy in Head and Neck Cancer: From Molecular Stratification to Resistance-Aware Combination Strategies.Current oncology (Toronto, Ont.) · 2026Review
- A multi-toxicity deep learning approach for normal tissue complication probability modelling in head and neck cancer patients receiving radiotherapy.Radiotherapy and oncology : journal of the European Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology · 2026Article
- An evaluation of uncertainty quantification methods and measures for deep learning outcome prediction models in head and neck cancer radiotherapy.Physics and imaging in radiation oncology · 2026Article
- Current status and future directions of multimodal deep learning normal tissue complication probability modelling in head and neck cancer radiotherapy.Frontiers in oncology · 2026Review
- Precision rehabilitation for swallowing dysfunction after radiotherapy in head and neck cancer: current evidence, key controversies, and future perspectives.Frontiers in oncology · 2026Review
- Application of intelligent technologies for dysphagia risk prediction: A scoping review.Digital healthReview
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Abstract
BACKGROUND & PURPOSE: Late radiation-associated dysphagia after head and neck cancer (HNC) significantly impacts patient's health and quality of life. Conventional normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models use discrete dose parameters to predict toxicity risk but fail to fully capture the complexity of this side effect. Deep learning (DL) offers potential improvements by incorporating 3D dose data for all anatomical structures involved in swallowing. This study aims to enhance dysphagia prediction with 3D DL NTCP models compared to conventional NTCP models. MATERIALS &
methodsA multi-institutional cohort of 1484 HNC patients was used to train and validate a 3D DL model (Residual Network) incorporating 3D dose distributions, organ-at-risk segmentations, and CT scans, with or without patient- or treatment-related data. Predictions of grade ≥ 2 dysphagia (CTCAEv4) at six months post-treatment were evaluated using area under the curve (AUC) and calibration curves. Results were compared to a conventional NTCP model based on pre-treatment dysphagia, tumour location, and mean dose to swallowing organs. Attention maps highlighting regions of interest for individual patients were assessed.
resultsDL models outperformed the conventional NTCP model in both the independent test set (AUC = 0.80-0.84 versus 0.76) and external test set (AUC = 0.73-0.74 versus 0.63) in AUC and calibration. Attention maps showed a focus on the oral cavity and superior pharyngeal constrictor muscle.
conclusionDL NTCP models performed significantly better than the conventional NTCP model, suggesting the benefit of using 3D-input over the conventional discrete dose parameters. Attention maps highlighted relevant regions linked to dysphagia, supporting the utility of DL for improved predictions.
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