Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41030754›Full record

ArticleCureus2025

Mortality Trends in Heart Failure and Pneumonia Among US Adults Aged 65 and Older: Analysis of CDC WONDER Data.

Faraz Ahmad, Ans Ahmad, Labiba Mansoor, Muhammad Kamran Khan, Mansoor Ahmad

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cureus, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Faraz AhmadDepartment of Cardiology, Tahir Heart Institute, Chenab Nagar, PAK.
Ans AhmadDepartment of Cardiology, Tahir Heart Institute, Chenab Nagar, PAK.
Labiba MansoorDepartment of Cardiology, Tahir Heart Institute, Chenab Nagar, PAK.
Muhammad Kamran KhanDepartment of Cardiology, Tahir Heart Institute, Chenab Nagar, PAK.
Mansoor AhmadDepartment of Cardiology, Meritus Medical Center, Hagerstown, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHeart failure (HF) and pneumonia are leading causes of morbidity and mortality in older adults. Their coexistence poses major clinical challenges and complicates management. This study quantified and analyzed mortality trends where both HF and pneumonia were listed as multiple causes of death, with attention to disparities by sex, race/ethnicity, age, region, state, and urban-rural status.

methodsWe conducted a retrospective observational analysis using the CDC WONDER multiple-cause mortality database (1999-2020), including deaths in which both HF and pneumonia were recorded on death certificates. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000, with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), were calculated across demographic, geographic, and temporal variables using ICD-10 codes. Joinpoint regression identified statistically significant (p < 0.05) trend changes and annual percent changes (APCs).

resultsA total of 502,834 deaths occurred in adults ≥65 years with both HF and pneumonia. In men, AAMR declined from 109.4 in 1999 to 63.5 in 2020; in women, from 80.3 to 40.7. Non-Hispanic (NH) White adults had the highest racial AAMR (56.7). The Midwest reported the highest regional AAMR (100.4), while West Virginia ranked highest among states (88.0). Non-metropolitan areas showed a higher AAMR (72.9) compared with metropolitan areas.

conclusionsFrom 1999 to 2018, HF and pneumonia mortality rates declined but rose again in 2020, potentially reflecting pandemic-related impacts and increased vulnerability in this population. Persistent disparities were observed across sex, race/ethnicity, geography, and urban-rural status. These findings underscore the need for targeted public health strategies to reduce mortality and narrow disparities in older adults with HF and pneumonia.

Indexed as

covid-19elderly populationepidemiologyheart failuremortality trendpneumoniaracial and ethnic disparities

Identifiers

PMID41030754
PMCPMC12477070

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.