Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41028729›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

A predictive approach to enhance time-series forecasting.

Skye Gunasekaran, Assel Kembay, Hugo Ladret, Rui-Jie Zhu, Laurent Perrinet, Omid Kavehei, Jason Eshraghian

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Skye GunasekaranDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.
Assel KembayDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0004-8036-0395
Hugo LadretFriedrich Miescher Institute for Biomedical Research, Basel, Switzerland.
Rui-Jie ZhuDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.
Laurent PerrinetInstitut de Neurosciences de la Timone, Aix Marseille Univ, CNRS, Marseille, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9536-010X
Omid KaveheiSchool of Biomedical Engineering, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2753-5553
Jason EshraghianDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA, USA. jsn@ucsc.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5832-4054

Funding

National Science Foundation (NSF) ECCS:2332166
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Accurate time-series forecasting is crucial in various scientific and industrial domains, yet deep learning models often struggle to capture long-term dependencies and adapt to data distribution shifts over time. We introduce Future-Guided Learning, an approach that enhances time-series event forecasting through a dynamic feedback mechanism inspired by predictive coding. Our method involves two models: a detection model that analyzes future data to identify critical events and a forecasting model that predicts these events based on current data. When discrepancies occur between the forecasting and detection models, a more significant update is applied to the forecasting model, effectively minimizing surprise, allowing the forecasting model to dynamically adjust its parameters. We validate our approach on a variety of tasks, demonstrating a 44.8% increase in AUC-ROC for seizure prediction using EEG data, and a 23.4% reduction in MSE for forecasting in nonlinear dynamical systems (outlier excluded). By incorporating a predictive feedback mechanism, Future-Guided Learning advances how deep learning is applied to time-series forecasting.

Identifiers

PMID41028729
PMCPMC12485041

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.