Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41026687›Full record

ArticleDiabetes care2025

Low-Carbohydrate Diets of Varying Macronutrient Quality and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes in Three U.S. Prospective Cohort Studies.

Binkai Liu, Yeli Wang, Yang Hu, Yi Wan, Cuilin Zhang, Eric B Rimm, Frank B Hu, Qi Sun

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetes care, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Binkai LiuDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-5478-5208
Yeli WangDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0003-3031-6199
Yang HuDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-0200-5951
Yi WanDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0001-7254-3053
Cuilin ZhangDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-8014-2708
Eric B RimmDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Frank B HuDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Qi SunDepartment of Nutrition, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-8480-1563

Funding

Statistical MethodsP01CA087969 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI TWOROGER, SHELLEY S · 2000 to 2019
$77.8M
Life Course Cancer Epidemiology Cohort in WomenU01CA176726 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI ELIASSEN, A. HEATHER, WILLETT, WALTER C. · 2018 to 2025
$22.4M
Long Term Multidisciplinary Study of Cancer in Women: The Nurses Health StudyUM1CA186107 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI ELIASSEN, A. HEATHER, STAMPFER, MEIR · 2014 to 2023
$22.3M
Integrating lifecourse approaches, biologic and digital phenotypes in support of heart and lung disease epidemiologic researchU01HL145386 · NHLBI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI CHAVARRO, JORGE EDUARDO, MANSON, JOANN ELISABETH · 2019 to 2025
$17.8M
Cancer Epidemiology Cohort in Male Health ProfessionalsU01CA167552 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Lorelei Mucci, Walter C. Willett · 2017 to 2026
$17.0M
RISK FACTORS FOR CVD IN WOMENR01HL034594 · NHLBI · TULANE UNIVERSITY OF LOUISIANA · PI JoAnn Elisabeth Manson, Lu Qi · 1985 to 2026
$13.8M
Dietary Etiology of Heart DiseaseR01HL035464 · NHLBI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI ERIC B RIMM, Qi Sun · 1986 to 2026
$13.6M
Premonopausal Hormone Levels and Risk of Breast CancerR01CA067262 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI HANKINSON, SUSAN E · 2002 to 2011
$11.9M
BIOCHEMICAL MARKERS IN THE NURSES'HEALTH STUDY COHORTR01CA049449 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI HANKINSON, SUSAN E · 1989 to 2008
$11.3M
Risk Factors for Ischemic Stroke in WomenR01HL088521 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI REXRODE, KATHRYN M · 2008 to 2025
$9.9M
DIETARY PATTERNS AND RISK OF CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASER01HL060712 · NHLBI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI HU, FRANK B, QI, QIBIN · 1998 to 2021
$8.0M
CVD Epidemiology Training Program in Behavior, the Environment and Global HealthT32HL098048 · NHLBI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Goodarz Danaei, ERIC B RIMM · 2009 to 2026
$6.9M
NCI NIH HHS P01 CA087969NCI NIH HHS R01 CA049449NCI NIH HHS R01 CA067262NCI NIH HHS U01 CA167552NCI NIH HHS U01 CA176726NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA186107NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL034594NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL035464NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL060712NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL088521NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL098048NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL145386NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK119268NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK120870NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK126698NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES022981NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES036206
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo prospectively examine associations between five low-carbohydrate diets (LCDs), differentiated by macronutrient quality, and type 2 diabetes (T2D) risk. RESEARCH DESIGN AND

methodsThis cohort study included 199,006 U.S. adults from the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) (1984-2018), NHSII (1991-2019), and Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-2018); free of T2D, cardiovascular disease, and cancer at baseline; and followed over 30 years. Diet was assessed every 2-4 years using validated food frequency questionnaires since baseline. Five LCD scores were derived based on intakes of protein, fat, and carbohydrates from contrasting food sources. The primary outcome was incident T2D.

resultsDuring 4,987,761 person-years of follow-up, 20,452 T2D cases were documented. After adjustments for baseline BMI and other covariates, higher overall LCD score was associated with higher T2D risk (hazard ratio comparing highest vs. lowest quintile 1.31 [95% CI 1.25-1.37]; P-trend < 0.001). An animal-based LCD emphasizing animal protein and fat and an unhealthy LCD score further deemphasizing whole grains and other high-quality carbohydrates were associated with higher T2D risk (1.39 [1.32-1.45] and 1.44 [1.37-1.51]; both P-trend < 0.001). In contrast, a vegetable-based LCD emphasizing plant protein and fat was associated with a 6% lower T2D risk (0.94 [0.90-0.98]; P-trend = 0.004), and a healthy LCD further deemphasizing refined carbohydrates was associated with a 16% lower T2D risk (0.84 [0.81-0.88]; P-trend < 0.001]). Associations for overall, animal-based, and unhealthy LCDs were stronger among participants with lower baseline BMI and were partially mediated by weight change.

conclusionsLCDs may not be beneficial for primary prevention of T2D unless they prioritize plant-based protein, healthy fats, and high-quality carbohydrates.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Diet, Carbohydrate-RestrictedNutrientsAdultAgedDietary ProteinsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk FactorsUnited StatesDietary ProteinsNutrients

Identifiers

PMID41026687
PMCPMC12635889

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.