Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41024426›Full record

ArticleBiostatistics (Oxford, England)2025

A Bayesian semi-parametric approach to causal mediation for longitudinal mediators and time-to-event outcomes with application to a cardiovascular disease cohort study.

Saurabh Bhandari, Michael J Daniels, Maria Josefsson, Donald M Lloyd-Jones, Juned Siddique

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biostatistics (Oxford, England), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Saurabh BhandariDepartment of Statistics, University of Florida, 102 Griffin-Floyd Hall, Gainesville, FL 32611, United States.ORCID 0009-0002-2743-0919
Michael J DanielsDepartment of Statistics, University of Florida, 102 Griffin-Floyd Hall, Gainesville, FL 32611, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-9856-9486
Maria JosefssonDepartment of Statistics, USBE, Umeå University, Samhällsvetarhuset, Biblioteksgränd 6, Umeå 90187, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-1812-3581
Donald M Lloyd-JonesBoston University Chobanian & Avedisian School of Medicine, Boston University, 72 E Concord St, Boston, MA 02118, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-0847-6110
Juned SiddiqueDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, 680 N Lake Shore Drive, Chicago, IL 60611, United States.

Funding

Combining longitudinal cohort studies to examine cardiovascular risk factor trajectories across the adult lifespan and their association with diseaseR01HL158963 · NHLBI · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI DANIELS, MICHAEL J, SIDDIQUE, JUNED · 2021 to 2024
$2.3M
Bayesian machine learning for complex missing data and causal inference with a focus on cardiovascular and obesity studiesR01HL166324 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI Michael J Daniels · 2023 to 2026
$2.1M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL158963NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL166324NIH HHS R01 HL158963NIH HHS R01 HL166324
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Causal mediation analysis of observational data is an important tool for investigating the potential causal effects of medications on disease-related risk factors, and on time-to-death (or disease progression) through these risk factors. However, when analyzing data from a cohort study, such analyses are complicated by the longitudinal structure of the risk factors and the presence of time-varying confounders. Leveraging data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort study, we develop a causal mediation approach, using (semi-parametric) Bayesian Additive Regression Tree (BART) models for the longitudinal and survival data. Our framework is developed using static longitudinal exposure regimes and allows for time-varying confounders and mediators, both of which can be either continuous or binary. We also identify and estimate direct and indirect causal effects in the presence of a competing event. We apply our methods to assess how medication, prescribed to target cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors, affects the time-to-CVD death.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesMediation AnalysisModels, StatisticalBayes TheoremCausalityCohort StudiesFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleRisk FactorsBARTcausal inferenceCVDlongitudinal and survival data

Identifiers

PMID41024426
PMCPMC12479244

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.