Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41023846›Full record

ArticleBMC gastroenterology2025

A chitinase-3-like protein-1-based nomogram for identification of significant liver fibrosis in the general population.

Piaopiao Jin, Nan Li, Chenbing Liu, Di Sheng, Lihong Qiu, Chenzhao Zhao, Zhong Liu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC gastroenterology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Piaopiao JinHealth Management Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, No. 79 Qingchun Road, Shangcheng District, Hangzhou, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2220-8959
Nan LiHealth Management Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, No. 79 Qingchun Road, Shangcheng District, Hangzhou, China.
Chenbing LiuHealth Management Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, No. 79 Qingchun Road, Shangcheng District, Hangzhou, China.
Di ShengHealth Management Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, No. 79 Qingchun Road, Shangcheng District, Hangzhou, China.
Lihong QiuHealth Management Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, No. 79 Qingchun Road, Shangcheng District, Hangzhou, China.
Chenzhao ZhaoHealth Management Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, No. 79 Qingchun Road, Shangcheng District, Hangzhou, China.
Zhong LiuHealth Management Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, No. 79 Qingchun Road, Shangcheng District, Hangzhou, China. liuzhongzheyi@zju.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSerum chitinase-3-like protein-1 (CHI3L1) level is significantly correlated with fibrosis in chronic liver diseases. Therefore, we aimed to develop a CHI3L1-based model to predict significant liver fibrosis in the general population.

methodsThis retrospective cross-sectional study enrolled 6361 participants (4452 training and 1909 validation). Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) with variance inflation factor (VIF) analysis was employed for variable selection. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to construct a nomogram model. The clinical utility of the nomogram model was compared with that of the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS) using receiver operating characteristic curves with comparisons of areas under the curve (AUCs), decision curve analysis (DCA), clinical impact curves (CIC), and stratified subgroup analysis.

resultsThe nomogram model was composed of five variables: waist circumference, body mass index, aspartate aminotransferase, homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance, and CHI3L1. The model obtained AUCs of 0.795 and 0.802 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, which were significantly greater than those of FIB-4, NFS, and CHI3L1 alone, ranging from 0.573 to 0.612. Furthermore, DCA demonstrated greater net benefit across clinically relevant threshold, while CIC confirmed robust risk stratification. Consistent performance was observed in the metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) population.

conclusionsThis novel nomogram showed good performance and clinical utility in predicting significant liver fibrosis and could be used as an ideal screening tool for the general population.

Indexed as

Chitinase-3-Like Protein 1Liver CirrhosisNomogramsAdultAspartate AminotransferasesBiomarkersBody Mass IndexCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansInsulin ResistanceLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesROC CurveAspartate AminotransferasesBiomarkersCHI3L1 protein, humanChitinase-3-Like Protein 1Chitinase-3-like protein-1Liver fibrosisNomogramPrediction modelScreening tool

Identifiers

PMID41023846
PMCPMC12482045

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.