ArticleBMC infectious diseases2025
Comparative effectiveness of antiviral treatment on household transmission of SARS-CoV-2: a retrospective cohort study using administrative data.
Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Antiviral GHP-88310 blocks contact-mediated and airborne transmission in a ferret model of measles-like disease.Nature microbiology · 2026Article
- Strategic Preparedness of Broad-Spectrum Antivirals for Rapid Response Towards Next Pandemics.Small science · 2026Article
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9 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundAntiviral treatment reduces influenza transmission and differs in effectiveness among agents. Although SARS-CoV-2 antivirals lower viral shedding, their role in preventing secondary household transmission and the differences between agents remain unclear.
methodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study using the JMDC administrative claims database in Japan. The study included married-couple households between 1 April and 31 August 2023, when the Omicron XBB variant was predominant. Households in which at least one person had been diagnosed with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) were included. We excluded households if the index patient did not receive antiviral treatment on day 0, or the spouse was diagnosed on day 0 or 1. The primary outcome was subsequent infection in the spouse by day 7. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs), after adjusting for potential confounders.
resultsOf the 326,827 married-couple households, 5,398 met the inclusion criteria. Among them, 1,143 households (21.2%) experienced presumed secondary transmission by day 7. The cumulative transmission rate, estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, was lower among hospitalized patients (n = 73, 11.0%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 5.7-20.8%) than among outpatients (n = 5,325, 21.5%, 95% CI: 20.4-22.6%, p = 0.035). Transmission rates did not significantly differ among the outpatient antiviral groups: molnupiravir (n = 3,093, 21.3%, 95% CI: 19.9-22.8%), ensitrelvir (n = 1,907, 21.6%, 95% CI: 19.8-23.6%), and nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (n = 323, 22.8%, 95% CI: 18.6-27.8%, p = 0.74). In multivariable Cox analysis, male sex (adjusted HR 1.43, 95% CI: 1.26-1.63; p < 0.001), history of COVID-19 in the index patient (adjusted HR 0.50, 95% CI: 0.33-0.76; p = 0.001), and history of COVID-19 in the partner (adjusted HR 0.31, 95% CI: 0.21-0.45; p < 0.001) were significantly associated with transmission risk. Hospitalization tended to be associated with a lower risk of transmission (adjusted HR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.25-1.03; p = 0.062).
conclusionsHousehold transmission rates were not statistically different among three different outpatient oral antiviral agents. Hospitalization was associated with a trend toward lower transmission rates, possibly due to physical isolation.
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