Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41020065›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in epidemiology2025

Concordance of coverage estimates from routine and survey data of measles second dose vaccine in Western Kenya.

Angela K Moturi, Moses M Musau, Samuel K Muchiri, Peter M Macharia, Robert W Snow, Emelda A Okiro

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in epidemiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Angela K Moturi *Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Moses M Musau *Population and Health Impact Surveillance Group, Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI)-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya.
Samuel K MuchiriPopulation and Health Impact Surveillance Group, Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI)-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya.
Peter M MachariaPopulation and Health Impact Surveillance Group, Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI)-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya.
Robert W SnowPopulation and Health Impact Surveillance Group, Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI)-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya.
Emelda A OkiroPopulation and Health Impact Surveillance Group, Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI)-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Missed opportunities for key vaccinations continue to exacerbate disease outbreaks. Accurately monitoring immunisation coverage is fundamental to identifying gaps in vaccine delivery and informing timely action. This study assesses the agreement between routine and survey-based coverage estimates for the second dose of the measles vaccine (MCV2) in Western Kenya. Methods: This study utilised model-based geostatistics estimates MCV2 coverage from the 2022 Kenya Demographic and Health Survey (DHS), monthly immunisation data from routine health information systems (2019-2022) imputed for missingness and population data from WorldPop for 2019 across 62 Western Kenyan subnational areas (sub-counties). Routine MCV2 coverage was computed using MCV2 doses as a numerator and two separate denominators: (i) Pentavalent 1 doses to account for children already receiving prior vaccines at health facilities (service-based coverage) and (ii) surviving infants to account for all eligible children (population-based coverage). Concordance was assessed using the 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of survey-modelled estimates, intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC), and Bland-Altman (BA) plots. Results: Survey-modelled estimates differed substantially in 55 (89%) and 39 (63%) sub-counties compared to population and service-based coverage estimates respectively. The different approaches showed poor congruence in survey-modelled vs. population-based coverage estimates (ICC: 0.10, Conclusions: Substantial discrepancies among survey-modelled, routine population, and service-based coverage estimates expose important variations in each approaches' results. While all approaches offer distinct insights, improving survey models, routine data quality and refining estimates of population catchment is imperative for reliable fine-scale vaccine delivery monitoring.

Indexed as

child immunisationdemographic and health surveillancegeostatistical modellingmeaslesroutine health data

Identifiers

PMID41020065
PMCPMC12460269

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.