Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41019350›Full record

ArticleF1000Research2025

Research on Olympic medal prediction based on GA-BP and logistic regression model.

Sanglin Zhao, Jikang Cao, Keyun Lu, Jackon Steve

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in F1000Research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Sanglin ZhaoSchool of Engineering Management, Hunan University of Finance and Economics, Changsha, Hunan, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0004-4616-7129
Jikang CaoSchool of Engineering Management, Hunan University of Finance and Economics, Changsha, Hunan, China.
Keyun LuSchool of Engineering Management, Hunan University of Finance and Economics, Changsha, Hunan, China.
Jackon SteveSchool of Management, University of Khartoum, Khartoum, Khartoum, Sudan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0003-0046-768X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Predicting the number and distribution of Olympic medals in the future has become a hot topic, but predicting the number of Olympic medals is not easy and requires comprehensive consideration of multiple factors such as historical data, athlete performance, and host country effects. Method: This article uses the GA-BP algorithm model, combined with genetic algorithm (GA) and backpropagation neural network (BPNN), to optimize the weights and bias parameters of the BP neural network using the global search capability of genetic algorithm, thereby improving training efficiency and prediction performance. By estimating the number of Olympic gold medals and total medals, verifying the accuracy of the model, and predicting the medal table for the 2028 Los Angeles Olympics. Meanwhile, based on the synthetic control model, Estonia and China were selected as research subjects to construct a virtual control group and two experimental groups for analysis. Result: The experimental results showed that Estonia and China won more medals with a head coach than without one. In 1992, Estonia won 1 gold medal and 2 bronze medals under the guidance of excellent coaches, indicating the significant role of head coaches in improving athletes' performance. Conclusion: This study provides valuable insights for the decision-making of the Olympic Committee, revealing key factors in medal distribution, optimizing the allocation of national strategic resources, and predicting the performance of countries at future Olympic Games.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsAthletic PerformanceAwards and PrizesNeural Networks, ComputerSportsAthletesChinaHumansLogistic ModelsCoach effectGenetic algorithmLogistic regressionOlympic medalsVirtual control group

Identifiers

PMID41019350
PMCPMC12461187

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LicenceCC BY
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.