Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41015631›Full record

ArticleJournal of pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics2025

Impact of covariate model building methods on their clinical relevance evaluation in population pharmacokinetic analyses: comparison of the full model, stepwise covariate model (SCM) and SCM+  approaches - further results based on more conventional practices.

Morgane Philipp, Simon Buatois, Sylvie Retout, France Mentré

Abstract readComparative Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. SCOUT: An Exploratory Approach to Scouting Dose-Relevant Covariates.CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Morgane PhilippUniversité Paris Cité, INSERM, IAME, UMR 1137, Paris, France. morgane.philipp@inserm.fr.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9827-316X
Simon BuatoisRoche Pharma Research and Early Development, Pharmaceutical Sciences, Roche Innovation Center Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-5366
Sylvie RetoutInstitut Roche, Boulogne-Billancourt, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4867-8438
France MentréUniversité Paris Cité, INSERM, IAME, UMR 1137, Paris, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7045-1275

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Covariate clinical relevance (CCR) is commonly assessed in population pharmacokinetics using forest plots visualizing parameter changes across covariate values. In our previous work (Philipp et al. 2024), CCR was evaluated using a [0.80-1.20] reference area and a 90% confidence interval for both relevance and significance assessment. However, more conventional thresholds include a broader reference area of [0.80-1.25] and the use of a 5% type I error to assess statistical significance. This commentary extends our previous analysis by evaluating CCR decisions under these more conventional thresholds, in order to assess whether the full model, the stepwise covariate modeling (SCM) and its enhanced version SCM+ remain robust. A comparison with the previous results is also provided. The revised CCR evaluation gave satisfactory results across all three approaches. For covariates with a simulated effect, the full model and SCM/SCM+ provided consistent conclusions with those of the true model. For covariates without a simulated effect, the full model mainly found them non-relevant (NR) non-significant or insufficient information (II) non-significant, while SCM/SCM+ mainly did not select them. These results align with our previous findings. Conclusions for covariates with a simulated effect were almost unchanged. For covariates without a simulated effect, the more conventional threshold allowed the full model to conclude more frequently to their NR instead of II, likely due to the broader reference area and stricter type I error control. Overall, the consistency of our results across different thresholds demonstrates their robustness and supports their generalizability.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalModels, StatisticalPharmacokineticsClinical RelevanceComputer SimulationHumansCovariate clinical relevanceForest plotFull modelingPharmacokineticStepwise

Identifiers

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.