Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41013566›Full record

SynthesisAIDS research and therapy2025

High HIV viral suppression among adults receiving WHO-recommended first-line dolutegravir-based antiretroviral therapy in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis of programmatic evidence.

Amalia Girón-Callejas, Rolando Lorenzana, Michael Pickles, Seth Inzaule, Michael R Jordan, Sheilee Diaz, Charlotte Vrinten

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in AIDS research and therapy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Amalia Girón-CallejasSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, 90 Wood Lane, W12 0BZ, London, UK. amalia.giron-callejas21@alumni.imperial.ac.uk.
Rolando LorenzanaICAP, Columbia University, New York, USA.
Michael PicklesMedical Research Council Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Seth InzauleDepartment of Global Health, Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Michael R JordanDivision of Geographic Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA.
Sheilee DiazCentro de Estudios en Salud, Universidad del Valle de Guatemala, Guatemala, Guatemala.
Charlotte VrintenSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, 90 Wood Lane, W12 0BZ, London, UK.

Funding

SDMC: HPTN 084 Pregnancy SupplementUM1AI068617 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Elizabeth Renata Brown, Deborah J Donnell · 2011 to 2026
$204.9M
Medical Research Council MR/X020258/1NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068617U.S. National Institutes of Health NIH UM1 AI068617
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis systematic review and meta-analysis assessed viral suppression among adults receiving WHO-recommended first-line dolutegravir-based ART in programmatic settings in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs).

methodsA systematic search of Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, and major HIV conferences (IAS, AIDS, and CROI) from January 2019 to September 2024 identified cohort and cross-sectional studies reporting viral suppression among adults receiving WHO-recommended first-line dolutegravir-based ART in LMICs. Studies with follow-ups ≤ 4 months or using non-WHO-recommended regimens were excluded. Pooled estimates were calculated using random-effects meta-analysis. Sensitivity analyses excluded outliers. Subgroup analyses distinguished adults initiating versus transitioning to dolutegravir-based ART. Both on-treatment and intention-to-treat outcomes were assessed.

resultsTwenty-two studies (n = 47 to 50,742) from 13 countries were included. On-treatment pooled viral suppression was 95% (95% CI: 91-97%, I²= 96%) at six months, 96% (94-98%, I² = 97%) at 12 months, and 98% (96-99%, I² = 94%) at 24 months. Sensitivity analysis removing outliers decreased heterogeneity and slightly lowered the 6‑month estimate (to 94%), with negligible change at 12 months. At 6 months, viral suppression was higher in those transitioning than initiating ART (98% vs. 94%, p < 0.01), with similar rates at 12 months (97%, p = 0.67). The pooled intention-to-treat 12-month viral suppression rate was 89% (82-93%, I² = 95%), with no significant difference by ART status (initiating 86% vs. transitioning 91%, p = 0.44).

conclusionAdults retained in care receiving WHO-recommended first-line dolutegravir-based ART achieved viral suppression rates of ≥ 95% up to two years. These findings align with the UNAIDS 95% suppression target and reinforce the role of dolutegravir-based regimens in ending HIV as a public health threat.

trial registrationCRD42024557769.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsHeterocyclic Compounds, 3-RingHIV InfectionsHIV Integrase InhibitorsOxazinesPiperazinesPyridonesAdultAntiretroviral Therapy, Highly ActiveDeveloping CountriesDolutegravirHumansViral LoadWorld Health OrganizationAnti-HIV AgentsDolutegravirHeterocyclic Compounds, 3-RingHIV Integrase InhibitorsOxazinesPiperazinesPyridonesAntiretroviral therapyDeveloping countriesDolutegravirHighly activeHIVSystematic reviewViral load

Identifiers

PMID41013566
PMCPMC12465354

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.