Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41006257›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

AI cancer driver mutation predictions are valid in real-world data.

Thinh N Tran, Chris Fong, Karl Pichotta, Anisha Luthra, Ronglai Shen, Yuan Chen, Michele Waters, Susie Kim, Xiang Li, Ino de Bruijn and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Thinh N TranMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3428-2507
Chris FongMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Karl PichottaMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Anisha LuthraMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Ronglai ShenMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9694-584X
Yuan ChenMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8734-007X
Michele WatersMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5416-5172
Susie KimMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Xiang LiMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2782-2250
Ino de BruijnMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5427-4750
Gregory RielyMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Michael F BergerMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3882-5000
Marc LadanyiMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9055-7213
Debyani ChakravartyMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8629-5732
Nikolaus SchultzMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA. schultzn@mskcc.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0131-4904
Justin JeeMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA. jeej@mskcc.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9783-0139

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI SELWYN M VICKERS · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Automatic integrated biomarkers to improve prediction of lung cancer outcomesK08CA286842 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI Justin Jee · 2024 to 2026
$769k
NCI NIH HHS K08 CA286842NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Characterizing and validating which mutations influence development of cancer is challenging. Artificial intelligence (AI) has delivered significant advances in protein structure prediction, but its utility for identifying cancer drivers is less explored. We evaluate multiple computational methods for identifying cancer driver mutations. For re-identifying known drivers, methods incorporating protein structure or functional genomic data outperform methods trained only on evolutionary data. We validate variants of unknown significance (VUSs) annotated as pathogenic by testing their association with overall survival in two cohorts of patients with non-small cell lung cancer (N = 7965 and 977). VUSs identified as pathogenic drivers by AI in KEAP1 and SMARCA4 are associated with worse survival, unlike "benign" VUSs. "Pathogenic" VUSs also exhibit mutual exclusivity with known oncogenic alterations at the pathway level, further suggesting biological validity. AI predictions thus contribute to a more comprehensive understanding of tumor genetics as validated by real-world data.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceCarcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungLung NeoplasmsMutationComputational BiologyDNA HelicasesHumansKelch-Like ECH-Associated Protein 1Nuclear ProteinsTranscription FactorsDNA HelicasesKEAP1 protein, humanKelch-Like ECH-Associated Protein 1Nuclear ProteinsSMARCA4 protein, humanTranscription Factors

Identifiers

PMID41006257
PMCPMC12474978

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.