Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41006152›Full record

ArticleSurgery2026

Patient preferences in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma management are driven by aversion toward complications rather than treatment pathway.

Rebecca Kowalski, Kendyl Carlisle, Aprill N Park, Salome Ricci, Reuben Don, Carrie Cunningham, Julia F Slejko, C Daniel Mullins, Yinin Hu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Surgery, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Ablative Technologies for Thyroid Nodules: A Health Technology Assessment.Ontario health technology assessment series · 2026
    Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Rebecca KowalskiDepartment of Surgery, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD.
Kendyl CarlisleDepartment of Surgery, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD.
Aprill N ParkUniversity of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD.
Salome RicciDepartment of Practice, Sciences, and Health Outcomes Research, University of Maryland School of Pharmacy, Baltimore, MD.
Reuben DonDepartment of Practice, Sciences, and Health Outcomes Research, University of Maryland School of Pharmacy, Pharmaceutical Research Computing (PRC), Baltimore, MD.
Carrie CunninghamDepartment of Surgery, Mass General Brigham, Boston, MA.
Julia F SlejkoDepartment of Practice, Sciences, and Health Outcomes Research, University of Maryland School of Pharmacy, Baltimore, MD.
C Daniel MullinsDepartment of Practice, Sciences, and Health Outcomes Research, University of Maryland School of Pharmacy, Baltimore, MD.
Yinin HuDepartment of Surgery, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD. Electronic address: yinin.hu@som.umaryland.edu.

Funding

RESEARCH TRAINING IN THE EPIDEMIOLOGY OF AGINGT32AG000262 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI ANN L GRUBER-BALDINI, DENISE L ORWIG · 1998 to 2026
$8.2M
Institutional Career Development CoreKL2TR003099 · NCATS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI GEBO, KELLY A · 2019 to 2023
$7.9M
Preference-Based Treatment Valuation in Low-Risk Thyroid CancerK08CA293167 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI Yinin Hu · 2024 to 2026
$843k
NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR003099NCI NIH HHS K08 CA293167NIA NIH HHS T32 AG000262
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPapillary thyroid microcarcinomas carry an excellent prognosis, making patient preferences and cost-effectiveness important determinants of treatment selection. To conduct cost-effectiveness analyses, quality-adjusted life year weights for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma treatments must be derived. Our objective was to estimate the quality-adjusted life year weights of common papillary thyroid microcarcinoma treatment scenarios.

methodsThis study used 10 previously published papillary thyroid microcarcinoma clinical vignettes describing active surveillance, radiofrequency ablation, partial thyroidectomy, and total thyroidectomy, along with potential complications (progression, vocal cord palsy, hypocalcemia). Quality-adjusted life year weights were derived using a time trade-off instrument administered to thyroid cancer survivors. Quality-adjusted life year weights were compared using within-subjects repeated measures analysis of variance and paired Wilcoxon rank-sum tests. The cohort was powered to detect a minimal important difference with an effect size of 0.5 (ie, 0.04 quality-adjusted life year).

resultsData from 101 thyroid cancer survivors were collected. Median quality-adjusted life year weights for uncomplicated treatment scenarios ranged from 0.975 to 0.992 and were not significantly different between treatments (P = .15). Treatment complications resulted in significantly lower quality-adjusted life year weights across all treatment strategies (P < .01) except active surveillance (P = .72).

conclusionQuality-adjusted life year weights were comparable between the uncomplicated versions all 4 treatment pathways, suggesting that patient treatment preferences for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma are driven by aversion to treatment complications, rather than an inclination toward the experience of the treatments themselves. These quality-adjusted life year weights may be readily incorporated into value assessments for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma treatments.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, PapillaryPatient PreferencePostoperative ComplicationsThyroidectomyThyroid NeoplasmsAdultAgedCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedQuality-Adjusted Life YearsRadiofrequency AblationWatchful Waiting

Identifiers

PMID41006152
PMCPMC13222115

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.