Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41004510›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2025

Comparing diagnostic methods for historical arbovirus outbreaks: Insights from 19th century "dengue" epidemics.

Timothee Bonifay, Mathieu Nacher, Clémence Bonnefoy, Benjamin Rossi, Edouard Hallet, Philippe Abboud, Guillaume Bellaud, Nathalie Dournon, Aurélia Henn, Adrien Lemaignen and 5 more

Abstract readHistorical ArticleComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Timothee BonifayCentre Hospitalier de Cayenne, Cayenne, French Guiana.ORCID 0000-0003-3321-6011
Mathieu NacherCentre Hospitalier de Cayenne, Cayenne, French Guiana.
Clémence BonnefoyCentre Hospitalier de Cayenne, Cayenne, French Guiana.
Benjamin RossiCentre Hospitalier Intercommunal de Robert Ballanger, Aulnay-sous-bois, France.
Edouard HalletCentre Hospitalier de Cayenne, Cayenne, French Guiana.
Philippe AbboudCentre Hospitalier de Cayenne, Cayenne, French Guiana.
Guillaume BellaudCentre Hospitalier de Montauban, Montauban, France.
Nathalie DournonHôpital Avicenne, AP-HP Hôpitaux Universitaires Paris Seine-Saint-Denis, Paris, France.
Aurélia HennCentre Hospitalier Sud Francilien, Corbeil Essonnes, France.
Adrien LemaignenCentre Hospitalier Universitaire de Tours, Tours, France.
Liem Binh Luong NguyenHôpital Cochin, AP-HP. Centre - Université de Paris, Paris, France.
Diane SanderinkService des Maladies Infectieuses et Tropicales, Centre Hospitalo universitaire d'Anger, Angers, France.
Gaelle WalterCentre Hospitalier de Cayenne, Cayenne, French Guiana.
Alexandre BleibtreuHôpital de la Pitié Salpêtrière, AP-HP Sorbonne Université, Paris, France.
Loïc EpelboinCentre Hospitalier de Cayenne, Cayenne, French Guiana.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study reexamines historical "dengue" epidemics of the 18th and 19th centuries, suggesting that chikungunya virus (CHIKV), rather than dengue virus (DENV), may have been responsible for many of these outbreaks. While "dengue" was identified as a tropical disease in the 19th century, its exact characteristics remain unclear, and some descriptions align more closely with CHIKV, known for its distinctive symptom of joint pain. Three approaches were used to investigate these historical epidemics: (A) Expert opinion provided a contextualized and comprehensive analysis but faced criticism for its subjective nature (B) Clinical Score Application allowed for greater objectivity and a more stringent diagnosis, although it was limited by the need for a complete description (C) Double Proofreading: Two expert groups independently reviewed the articles, which enhanced objectivity but also led to greater variability in the results. The study suggests that CHIKV was mainly responsible for the epidemics historically attributed to "dengue". It highlights the challenges of diagnosing diseases from historical records. It also raises the possibility that other alphaviruses, like mayaro virus, could be involved, but CHIKV remains the primary candidate. This study offers intriguing insights into pathogen identification in historical epidemics, emphasizing the importance of a combined approach for a more precise understanding of past diseases and their evolution.

Indexed as

Chikungunya FeverDengueDisease OutbreaksEpidemicsChikungunya virusDengue VirusHistory, 18th CenturyHistory, 19th CenturyHumans

Identifiers

PMID41004510
PMCPMC12468935

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.