Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41001448›Full record

ArticlemedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences2025

A simple approach for multiple observations improves power to detect genetic effects and genomic prediction accuracy.

Luke M Evans, Christopher H Arehart, Raine A Gibson, Grace I Bowman, Christopher R Gignoux

Abstract readPreprint
In one paragraph

Article in medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Luke M EvansInstitute for Behavioral Genetics, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, 80303, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7458-1720
Christopher H ArehartInstitute for Behavioral Genetics, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, 80303, USA.
Raine A GibsonInstitute for Behavioral Genetics, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, 80303, USA.
Grace I BowmanInstitute for Behavioral Genetics, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, 80303, USA.ORCID 0009-0007-5394-7520
Christopher R GignouxDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, School of Medicine, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO, 80045, USA.

Funding

HRS Yrs29-34: Y33 SSA CoFundingU01AG009740 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Jessica Faul, KENNETH M LANGA · 1990 to 2026
$555.8M
Colorado Adoption/Twin Study of Lifespan behavioral development & cognitive aging (CATSLife2)R01AG046938 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO · PI REYNOLDS, CHANDRA A, WADSWORTH, SALLY J · 2015 to 2024
$18.5M
Research Training: Mental Health Behavior GeneticsT32MH016880 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO AT BOULDER · PI Naomi P. Friedman, Matthew Charles Keller · 1985 to 2026
$5.3M
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG046938NIA NIH HHS U01 AG009740NIMH NIH HHS T32 MH016880
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Many datasets, including widely used biobanks, have more than one observation of numerous phenotypes for at least a portion of their sample. The majority of GWAS utilize only a single observation per individual, even when more than one observation may be available, and apply a standard model in which the additive allelic effect being estimated is assumed to be constant across the age or time range in the sample. Here, we test a set of simple approaches to utilize multiple observations per individual, under this same assumption. We find that utilizing the mean or median of the available observations rather than a single observation improves power to detect associated loci and enriched gene sets and yields higher out-of-sample polygenic score prediction accuracy. Despite growing biobanks, many deeply phenotyped samples are relatively small but have multiple observations. While explicitly modeling age- or time-dependent genetic effects can estimate time- or age-specific genetic effects, most GWAS apply a standard, additive-only model; a simple approach of using the mean or median can improve power by reducing "noise" in the phenotype, utilize standard, optimized software, and be particularly impactful for smaller samples, including samples of diverse genetic ancestry currently existing in widely used biobanks.

Identifiers

PMID41001448
PMCPMC12458506

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.