Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40999480›Full record

ArticleDiabetology & metabolic syndrome2025

Global burden of chronic liver disease due to NAFLD from 2012 to 2021: A trend, decomposition, and health inequality analysis.

Yanrui Wu, Zongbiao Tan, Zhou Liu, Yupei Liu, Chuan Liu, Junhai Zhen, Jixiang Zhang, Weiguo Dong

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetology & metabolic syndrome, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Yanrui Wu *Department of Gastroenterology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
Zongbiao Tan *Department of Gastroenterology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
Zhou Liu *Department of Intensive Care Unit, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
Yupei LiuDepartment of Gastroenterology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
Chuan LiuDepartment of Gastroenterology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
Junhai ZhenDepartment of General Practice, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
Jixiang ZhangDepartment of Gastroenterology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.
Weiguo DongDepartment of Gastroenterology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China. dongweiguo@whu.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNon-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is considered to be an important driver of the increasing burden of chronic liver disease (CLD) worldwide. It is necessary to analyze the burden of CLD due to NAFLD (CLD-NAFLD) systematically.

methodsData related to CLD-NAFLD burden from 2012 to 2021 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021. The temporal trend of the incidence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) was quantified by average annual percentage change (AAPC). The driving factors of the incidence/DALYs change were explored through decomposition analysis. Slope index and concentration index were employed to investigate cross-country health inequalities.

resultsDuring 2012-2021, the global age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of CLD-NAFLD increased from 551.52 to 592.78 (per 100,000 population), while the age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) decreased from 31.92 to 30.90 (per 100,000 population). North Africa and Middle East had the highest age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), East Asia experienced the most rapid increase in ASIR, and Caribbean exhibited the most substantial increase in ASDR. Decomposition analysis showed that the main factors driving the increase in incident cases were population growth and epidemiologic changes, whereas population aging and population growth were the main driving factors for the increase of DALYs. There was cross-country health inequality in the DALYs, which showed a decreasing trend from 2012 to 2021. However, the health inequality in incidence was not significant.

conclusionsThe burden of CLD-NAFLD continues to increase. Health policy makers must develop corresponding strategies for the primary health care of metabolic diseases.

Indexed as

Chronic liver diseaseDecomposition analysisGlobal burden of diseaseHealth inequalityJoinpoint regressionNon-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Identifiers

PMID40999480
PMCPMC12465757

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.