Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40994890›Full record

ArticleResearch and practice in thrombosis and haemostasis2025

Standard cardiovascular risk prediction scores underestimate risk in immune-mediated thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura survivors.

Binish Javed, Jenna Brown, Jay Meade, Vijay Nambi, Ang Li, Shruti Chaturvedi, Senthil Sukumar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Research and practice in thrombosis and haemostasis, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Assessment of cardiovascular disease in immune thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura.Research and practice in thrombosis and haemostasis · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Binish JavedDivision of Hematology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Jenna BrownDivision of Hematology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Jay MeadeDivision of Hematology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Vijay NambiSection of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Hospital, Houston, Texas, USA.
Ang LiSection of Hematology/Oncology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.
Shruti ChaturvediDivision of Hematology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Senthil SukumarSection of Hematology/Oncology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.

Funding

Targeting silent cerebral infarction to improve long-term neurologic outcomes in immune thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (iTTP)R00HL172303 · NHLBI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Shruti Chaturvedi · 2024 to 2026
$1.3M
ADAMTS13 and Late Neurologic Morbidity after Thrombotic Thrombocytopenic PurpuraK99HL150594 · NHLBI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CHATURVEDI, SHRUTI · 2020 to 2023
$907k
NHLBI NIH HHS K99 HL150594NHLBI NIH HHS R00 HL172303
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Immune-mediated thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (iTTP) is a rare hematologic disorder with improved survival due to advancements in treatment. However, long-term cardiovascular morbidity and mortality remain significant. Established cardiovascular risk calculators, such as the 2008 Framingham Heart Study (FHS) global cardiovascular disease (CVD) and the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD) risk estimators, may not adequately account for the elevated and unique cardiovascular risks in iTTP survivors. Objectives: To evaluate the discrimination and calibration of the ACC/AHA ASCVD and FHS global CVD models in predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) among iTTP survivors. Methods: This retrospective study analyzed 135 iTTP survivors from Johns Hopkins University (1994-2024). Presence of MACEs, including myocardial infarction, stroke, and cardiac revascularization, was the primary outcome and was assessed during clinical remission. Discriminatory ability of the model was assessed using c-statistics, while calibration was evaluated with Hosmer-Lemeshow tests and calibration plots. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were also calculated. Results: MACEs occurred in 37.8% of the cohort over a median follow-up of 3.8 years. The ASCVD and FHS models demonstrated poor discrimination (c-statistics, 0.54 and 0.52, respectively) and poor calibration, with observed MACE rates exceeding predicted probabilities (Hosmer-Lemeshow Conclusion: Standard cardiovascular risk models inadequately predict MACE risk in iTTP survivors, underscoring the need for tailored tools that incorporate iTTP-specific factors to improve cardiovascular risk stratification and management.

Indexed as

calibrationcardiovascularMACErisk predictionthrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura

Identifiers

PMID40994890
PMCPMC12454890

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.