Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40994208›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences2025

Bayesian machine learning for inverse design of ultra-high-performance concrete.

Christopher Childs, Aaron Miller, Willie Neiswanger, Barnabas Poczos, Lauren Stewart, Kimberly Kurtis, Newell Washburn

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Christopher ChildsDepartment of Chemistry, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
Aaron MillerDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Willie NeiswangerSchool of Computer Science, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Barnabas PoczosDepartment of Machine Learning, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
Lauren StewartDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Kimberly KurtisCivil and Environmental Engineering, Materials Science and Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1252-7323
Newell WashburnDepartment of Chemistry, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.

Funding

Advanced Research Projects Agency - EnergyGeorgia Department of Transportation
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The diversity of available material feedstocks, coupled with rigorous performance requirements, complicates the design of ultra-high-performance concrete (UHPC). Here, a Bayesian method for inverse design is first demonstrated from published UHPC data. Materials were represented in a framework of hierarchical machine learning; a fundamental goal in this study was to compare the accuracy and generalizability of models parameterized by compositional variables with those parameterized by latent variables based on empirical models. Data were first modelled by ensemble ridge regression, and miscalibration area (a Bayesian error metric) indicated improved generalizability for models parameterized by latent variables compared to those parameterized by composition. Then, Gaussian process regression based on an expanded feature set was used to predict strength that, counterintuitively, generated higher accuracy for models parameterized by compositional variables (test

Indexed as

compressive strengthfine aggregatelatent variablemachine learningpredictive modelultra-high-performance concrete

Identifiers

PMID40994208
PMCPMC12461221

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.